Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 32

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City Stadium (Buraidah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	JACO Middle East
China	QQ Sports
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah


	Al-Najma		Al Hazem

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.1
	3	3.5	2.15
	3.12	3.82	2.22
	3.16	3.69	2.1
	2.9	3.3	2.05
	3.3	3.68	2.19
	2.6	3.45	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.6)	3.55 ↑ (3.45)	2.16 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Najma
30.9%

Draw
26.1%

Al Hazem
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

26.2%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

26.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Najma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Al Hazem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Najma than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Hazem than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Al Najma - Al Hazem Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Najma will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al Hazem will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Victor Braga (G) 4. Al Haleel N. 33. Al Fatil M. 3. Samir Caetano (C) 66. Al Essa S. 18. Al Harabi A. 80. Dunga N. 27. Al Subaie K. 23. Al Tulayhi R. 14. Jasim A. 70. Felippe Cardoso	33. Al Ghamdi M. (G) 2. Al Rashid S. 13. Al Shanqiti A. 4. Tanker S. 27. Al Nakhli A. 24. Bah A. 32. Rosier L. 10. Martins F. (C) 26. Al Dhuwayhi A. 9. Al Somah O. 70. Al Shamrani A.
Substitutes
77. Al Dubais H. 87. Al Enezi W. (G) 24. Al Hawsawi A. 50. Al Hawsawi N. 6. Al Shammari K. 11. Dawran M. M. Y. 16. Guga 7. Lazaro 43. Tijanic D.	8. Al Harajin A. 82. Al Harbi A. 7. Al Shammari Y. 5. Al Yami M. 21. Bamba Dieng A. 3. Boutouil A. 80. Carvalho M. 17. Mokwana E. 23. Zaied I. (G)
Coaches
El Maestro N.	Kadri J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Felippe Cardoso ⚽, Jasim A. (A),
7', Tanker S. 🟨,
8', 1 - 1, Al Somah O. ⚽, Al Rashid S. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Al Dhuwayhi A. ⚽, Al Rashid S. (A),
45+2', 2 - 2, Al Haleel N. ⚽, Al Tulayhi R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dunga N. ↓, Guga ↑,
58', Al Tulayhi R. 🟨,
63', Jasim A. ↓, Lazaro ↑,
64', Al Dhuwayhi A. ↓, Mokwana E. ↑,
65', Al Shamrani A. ↓, Al Shammari Y. ↑,
75', Al Somah O. ↓, Bamba Dieng A. ↑,
75', Rosier L. ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
79', Al Haleel N. ↓, Tijanic D. ↑,
80', Al Tulayhi R. ↓, Al Hawsawi A. ↑,
82', Al Rashid S. 🟨,
82', Lazaro 🟨,
87', Martins F. ↓, Al Harajin A. ↑,
88', Mokwana E. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 10).

Al-Najma is Relegated to Division 1

Al-Najma is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al Hazem has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Al Hazem might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Al-Najma won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Al-Najma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Al Hazem	8	2	3	3	8:10	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Najma - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.79%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Al Hazem - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Najma Unaizah
Saudi Professional League
04.05.26	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Najma	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	Al-Khaleej - Al-Najma	3:1 ✺
23.04.26	Al-Najma - Al-Taawoun	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Al-Najma - Neom	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Najma	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLLWL
- Al Hazem
Saudi Professional League
02.05.26	Al Hazem - Al-Hilal	0:3 ✺
28.04.26	Neom - Al Hazem	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Al Hazem - Al-Riyadh	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Al Hazem - Al-Feiha	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Hazem	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
12.01.26	Al Hazem - Al-Najma	3:2
Saudi Division 1
08.04.25	Al Hazem - Al-Najma	0:2
25.11.24	Al-Najma - Al Hazem	2:1

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