Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Sporty TV App
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	MNC Soccer Channel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Tajikistan	Varzish Sport
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	Al-Ahli Jeddah		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.6	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.55	5.5
	1.69	3.54	5.9
	1.68	3.37	5.82	Watch
	1.62	3.4	5.5
	1.67	3.68	5.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.48)	3.55 ↓ (4.16)	5.65 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Ahli Jeddah
57%

Draw
26.4%

Machida Zelvia
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

22.5%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21.1%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ahli Jeddah's form might have worsened.

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ahli Jeddah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Al Ahli Jeddah - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Al-Ahli will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Machida Zelvia (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machida Zelvia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Mendy E. (C) 46. Hamidou R. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 6. Atangana V. 79. Kessie F. 7. Mahrez R. 10. Millot E. 13. Galeno 17. Toney I.	1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 16. Mae H. 31. Lavi N. 26. Hayashi K. 99. Yengi T. 27. Erik 7. Soma Y.
Substitutes
62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 30. Al Johani Z. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 32. Dams M. 60. Madani Y. 20. Matheus Goncalves 77. Ricardo Mathias 5. Sulaiman M.	44. Arai Y. (G) 5. Dresevic I. 9. Fujio S. 49. Kuwayama K. 11. Masuyama A. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 10. Na Sang-Ho 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 23. Shirasaki R. 34. Tokumura F.
Coaches
Jaissle M.	Kuroda G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Millot E. 🟨,
62', Erik ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
62', Millot E. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
68', Al Hawsawi Z. 🟥,
70', Yengi T. 🟨,
89', Lavi N. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
89', Yengi T. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
90+5', Abdulrahman M. 🟥,
90+7', Nakayama Y. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
96', 1 - 0, Al Buraikan F. ⚽, Kessie F. (A),
99', Nakamura H. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
106', Shoji G. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
111', Hamidou R. ↓, Sulaiman M. ↑,
114', Mahrez R. ↓, Al Johani Z. ↑,
118', Mendy E. 🟨,
120+1', Toney I. ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Al-Ahli is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Machida Zelvia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Ahli is a strong favorite.

We predict that Al-Ahli will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Al-Ahli Jeddah - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.15%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Ahli Jeddah
AFC Champions League
20.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
08.04.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Damac	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWTW
- Machida Zelvia
AFC Champions League
21.04.26	Machida Zelvia - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Machida Zelvia - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Machida Zelvia - Kashiwa Reysol	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Tokyo - Machida Zelvia	0:1 penalties ✺
01.04.26	Machida Zelvia - Tokyo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWWWL

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