Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: King Abdullah Sports City (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
China	iQIYI
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Pakistan	Tapmad
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Vietnam	TV 360


	Vissel Kobe		Al-Ahli Jeddah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	3.6	1.82	Watch
	4.18	3.9	1.85
	3.69	2.89	2.21	Watch
	4	3.5	1.8
	4.35	3.85	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.47)	3.55 ↓ (3.75)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
23.3%

Draw
26.7%

Al-Ahli Jeddah
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

25.5%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

29%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Al-Ahli Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Jeddah than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ahli Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	25%	68.7%

Vissel Kobe - Al Ahli Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Al-Ahli will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ahli: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler M. 41. Nagato K. 5. Goke Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 11. Muto Y. 19. Mitsuta M. 13. Sasaki D. 10. Osako Y.	16. Mendy E. (C) 46. Hamidou R. 28. Demiral M. 3. Ibanez 2. Al Hawsawi Z. 6. Atangana V. 79. Kessie F. 7. Mahrez R. 10. Millot E. 13. Galeno 17. Toney I.
Substitutes
16. Caetano 71. Gonda S. (G) 52. Hamasaki K. 44. Hidaka M. 23. Hirose R. 2. Iino N. 88. Inui T. 26. Jean Patric 29. Komatsu R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 80. Nduka B. 43. Yamada K.	62. Abdo A. (G) 29. Abdulrahman M. 47. Abu Al Shamat S. 9. Al Buraikan F. 30. Al Johani Z. 14. Al Muwallad E. 1. Al Sanbi A. (G) 32. Dams M. 60. Madani Y. 20. Matheus Goncalves 77. Ricardo Mathias 5. Sulaiman M.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Jaissle M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Muto Y. ⚽, Osako Y. (A),
38', Osako Y. 🟨,
45', Goke Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Goke Y. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
60', Jaissle M. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Galeno ⚽, Millot E. (A),
69', Mitsuta M. ↓, Jean Patric ↑,
69', Demiral M. ↓, Al Buraikan F. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Toney I. ⚽,
73', Thuler M. 🟨,
79', Sakai G. ↓, Komatsu R. ↑,
79', Sasaki D. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
83', Hamidou R. 🟨,
85', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
90+4', Mahrez R. ↓, Abdulrahman M. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Vissel Kobe has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Al-Ahli is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vissel Kobe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Al-Ahli has had a series of home games.

In this match, Al-Ahli is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
AFC Champions League
16.04.26	Al-Sadd - Vissel Kobe	3:4 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
11.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Nagoya Grampus	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe	1:4 ✺
01.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Vissel Kobe - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- Al-Ahli Jeddah
AFC Champions League
17.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Johor Darul Takzim	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al Duhail	1:0 ET ✺
Saudi Professional League
08.04.26	Al-Feiha - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Damac	3:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
18.03.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Hilal	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTWL

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