Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Al-Nassr Riyadh		Almería

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.40	2.00
	3.5	3.45	1.92
	3.86	3.13	1.93
	3.38	3.54	2.04	Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.93
	3.65	3.15	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.82)	3.33 ↓ (3.65)	1.98 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Nassr Riyadh
26.4%

Draw
27.4%

Almería
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.7%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nassr Riyadh's form might have worsened.

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almería's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Al Nassr Riyadh - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Almería will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Bento (G) 6. Al Nasser S. 3. Simakan M. 26. Martinez I. 83. Al Najdi S. 17. Al Khaibari A. 14. Al Najei S. (C) 20. Angelo 56. Al Ghamdi R. 60. Haqawi S. 9. Al Hamdan A.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 2. Pulido J. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 29. Dzodic S. 19. Vesga M. 23. Embarba A. (C) 11. Arribas S. 15. Cipenga B. 24. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
8. Abdulkareem H. 2. Al Ghannam S. 19. Al Hassan A. 18. Al Jaber A. 50. Almas A. M. 53. Al Otaibi A. (G) 4. Al Sharari N. 70. Aman A. 21. Coman K. 16. Maran M. 94. Sufyani A. 80. Wesley	14. Baba I. 8. Gui Guedes 31. Iribarne B. (G) 99. Junyent Q. 17. Lopy D. 16. Luna M. 10. Melamed N. 4. Monte N. 5. Rodrigo Ely 20. Sola A. 9. Thalys
Coaches
Postecoglou A.	Garcia Pimienta

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vesga M. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
46', Cipenga B. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Chirino D. ⚽,
61', 0 - 2, Embarba A. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Simakan M. ↓, Al Sharari N. ↑,
62', Al Najei S. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
62', Martinez I. ↓, Al Amri A. ↑,
67', Haqawi S. 🟨,
69', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
71', Haqawi S. ↓, Maran M. ↑,
71', Al Khaibari A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,
71', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
71', Al Ghamdi R. ↓, Mane S. ↑,
78', Pulido J. ↓, Rodrigo Ely ↑,
78', Bonini F. ↓, Monte N. ↑,
78', Embarba A. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
78', Arribas S. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
78', Dzodic S. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
78', Munoz A. ↓, Junyent Q. ↑,
82', Al Najdi S. ↓, Aman A. ↑,
83', Angelo ↓, Al Jaber A. ↑,
83', Al Nasser S. ↓, Almas A. M. ↑,
83', de la Fuente M. ↓, Thalys ↑,

Preview

Almería is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Al-Nassr may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Almería has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Almería - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.1%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Estrela da Amadora - Al-Nassr Riyadh	4:2 ✺
Saudi Professional League
21.05.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Damac	4:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
16.05.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Gamba Osaka	0:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
12.05.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
07.05.26	Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLTW
- UD Almería
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Betis - Almería	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Granada - Almería	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Águilas - Almería	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
20.06.26	Almería - Málaga	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Málaga - Almería	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.08.25	Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2
08.08.24	Almería - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:0

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