Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 7

Date: 15 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Francisco Zarco (Durango)

Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)


	Alacranes de Durango		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.85	3.35	4
	1.88	3.54	4.33
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	1.82	3.6	4.05
	1.92	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.17)	3.42 ↑ (3.1)	3.83 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alacranes de Durango
48.9%

Draw
27%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

26.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alacranes de Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alacranes de Durango's performance.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alacranes de Durango than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alacranes de Durango that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alebrijes de Oaxaca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alacranes de Durango - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Alebrijes de Oaxaca could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alacranes de Durango will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alacranes de Durango won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.02.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Alacranes de Durango	1:0 ✺
31.01.23	Alacranes de Durango - Cancún	4:3 ✺
28.01.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Alacranes de Durango	2:2 ✺
18.01.23	Alacranes de Durango - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:2 ✺
12.01.23	Atlético Morelia - Alacranes de Durango	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWTLL
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.02.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:3 ✺
01.02.23	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1 ✺
25.01.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	3:0 ✺
18.01.23	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1 ✺
11.01.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Celaya	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.09.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Alacranes de Durango	4:0

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