What is the expert prediction for Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca?

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Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, August 06, 2026)

Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 3

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Tlahuicole (Tlaxcala)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tlaxcala		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.75	4.5
	1.52	4.10	5.40	Watch
	1.64	4.15	5.05
	1.6	4.16	5.06	Watch
	1.60	4.10	5.00
	1.57	3.88	4.91	Watch
	1.57	3.90	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.57)	4.01 ↑ (3.9)	4.96 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlaxcala
58.3%

Draw
23.1%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

23.4%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Alebrijes de Oaxaca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Ramirez S. (G) 1. Govea I. (C) 14. Vazquez B. 21. Garcia E. 2. Gonzalez C. 6. Iniestra A. 10. Figueroa F. 23. Gonzalez P. 28. Hernandez D. 19. Camacho Lastra R. E. 11. Alvarez D.	1. Rodas C. (G) 14. Vazquez Hernandez A. 4. Alvarez K. (C) 12. Reyes J. 15. Villa P. 3. Justo A. 19. Fadika B. 6. Arellano A. 28. Jeffus L. 8. Barreda I. 11. Andrey Marcos
Substitutes
9. Christian 25. Flores B. 7. Hernandez E. 30. Nuno A. (G) 8. Plascencia F. 24. Robles E. 5. Sancho J. 3. Santos E. 29. Trejo Castro M. A. 17. Zamudio J.	7. Ballesteros O. 177. Bustos J. 26. Carreon M. 17. Collazo D. 23. Hernandez A. 25. Martinez D. 21. Paz Vasquez O. (G) 27. Sanchez E. 33. Tecpanecatl A. 34. Torres W.
Coaches
Fernandez R.	Bolanos Fabian G. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Garcia E. 🟨,
29', Gonzalez C. 🟥,
35', Figueroa F. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
46', 0 - 1, Justo A. ⚽, Andrey Marcos (A),
58', Andrey Marcos ↓, Tecpanecatl A. ↑,
58', Gonzalez P. ↓, Flores B. ↑,
68', Arellano A. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
71', Jeffus L. 🟨,
72', Alvarez D. ↓, Christian ↑,
73', Garcia E. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
73', Hernandez D. ↓, Trejo Castro M. A. ↑,
75', Barreda I. 🟨,
79', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
82', Christian 🟨,
84', 0 - 2, Tecpanecatl A. ⚽, Martinez D. (A),
84', Barreda I. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
84', Fadika B. ↓, Collazo D. ↑,
85', Tecpanecatl A. 🟨,
87', Robles E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 3.

In this match, Tlaxcala is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2:1).

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Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alebrijes Oaxaca	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6
15	Tlaxcala	4	0	1	3	5:11	-6	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tlaxcala FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
31.07.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tlaxcala	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Tlaxcala - Leones Negros UdeG	2:4 ✺
18.04.26	Tlaxcala - Venados	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Morelia - Tlaxcala	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Tapatío - Tlaxcala	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTTL
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.07.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	0:2 ✺
25.07.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.02.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	0:0
06.09.25	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1
21.03.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	2:3
05.10.24	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1
19.03.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala	1:1
16.09.23	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1
01.02.23	Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:1

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