Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Venados		Alebrijes de Oaxaca

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.50	4.20
	1.72	3.60	4.35	Watch
	1.68	3.97	5.10
	1.97	3.51	3.69	Watch
	1.82	3.70	4.05
	1.67	3.70	5.00	Watch
	1.67	3.55	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.84)	3.65 ↓ (3.79)	4.43 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados
53.4%

Draw
25.5%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

24.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Castellanos R. (G) 18. Amador K. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 13. Ochoa Brandon 31. Dominguez I. 11. Tejeda D. 6. Torres E. 10. Dominguez A. (C) 22. Montelongo M. 7. Reyes J. 29. Lora S.	1. Rodas C. (G) 23. Hernandez A. 4. Alvarez K. (C) 6. Arellano A. 14. Vazquez Hernandez A. 3. Justo A. 19. Fadika B. 20. Ayala D. 177. Bustos J. 11. Andrey Marcos 8. Barreda I.
Substitutes
17. Arroyo L. 27. Benitez S. 20. Cruz J. 1. Gonzalez C. (G) 8. Kilani P. 9. Lazarte L. 16. Macias L. 14. Montiel S. 34. Saucedo S. 30. Torres M.	24. Achinulo P. 17. Collazo D. 16. Gallinar S. 5. Lopez E. 21. Paz Vasquez O. (G) 12. Reyes J. 27. Sanchez E.
Coaches
Castro N.	Bolanos Fabian G. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Amador K. ↓, Kilani P. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Lora S. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
53', Arellano A. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Lora S. ⚽,
64', Justo A. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
68', Moreno Villegas J. A. ↓, Montiel S. ↑,
71', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
82', 3 - 0, Dominguez I. ⚽, Tejeda D. (A),
83', Bustos J. ↓, Gallinar S. ↑,
83', Andrey Marcos ↓, Collazo D. ↑,
83', Reyes J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
83', Tejeda D. ↓, Lazarte L. ↑,
88', Lora S. ↓, Arroyo L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 3.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Venados	11	6	1	4	26:21	5	19
14	Alebrijes Oaxaca	11	3	1	7	8:22	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.04.26	Tlaxcala - Venados	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Venados - Leones Negros UdeG	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Jaiba Brava - Venados	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Venados - Atlante	4:1 ✺
20.03.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TWTWL
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
17.04.26	Correcaminos UAT - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Jaiba Brava	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Atlético La Paz - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.02.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:3
30.08.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Venados	4:5
21.02.25	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1
08.09.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Venados	1:0
12.03.24	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1
05.09.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Venados	2:1
18.01.23	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	2:1

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