The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alanyaspor 50.1%
Draw 24.2%
Umraniyespor 25.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
26.9%
30.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
26%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alanyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alanyaspor's performance.
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alanyaspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75.9%
20.7%
3.4%
Alanyaspor - Umraniyespor Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Alanyaspor will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 3.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alanyaspor: 60.3% – 91.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Alanyaspor has the most likely position - 12 (20.46%), project points - 42, currently - 35, a very small chance of relegated (3%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 17 (30.8%), project points - 32, currently - 23, a good chance of relegated (86%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has quality36, small importance29, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Alanyaspor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Umraniyespor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Umraniyespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Alanyaspor will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bahadir Y.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gunes U.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Alanyaspor: Candeias D.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Yilmaz M.
(Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Alanyaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.