Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 40

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Toca Lopez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports Max


	Albacete Balompié		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.2	3.2	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3
	2.6	3.05	2.88
	2.45	3.11	3.3
	2.43	3	3.2	Watch
	2.41	3.1	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.64)	3.07 ↑ (2.99)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
38.9%

Draw
30.8%

Deportivo Alavés
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.6%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

31.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	44.4%	11.1%

Albacete Balompié - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Alavés will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albacete: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Albacete has the most likely position - 6 (70.54%), project points - 67, currently - 62, not chance of relegated, a very good chance of prom. playoffs (97%), a chance of promoted (25%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alavés has the most likely position - 5 (27.23%), project points - 70, currently - 66, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (79%), a chance of promoted (42%), a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 39, importance 61, match rating 50. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Albacete won 0.

Albacete is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alavés is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Albacete could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Albacete won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Albacete won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
07.05.23	Ibiza - Albacete Balompié	0:5 ✺
29.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Villarreal B - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Albacete Balompié - Eibar	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Racing Santander - Albacete Balompié	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
05.05.23	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	1:1 ✺
29.04.23	Levante - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Deportivo Alavés - Leganés	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo Alavés	0:0 ✺
10.04.23	Deportivo Alavés - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Albacete Balompié	0:0
Club Friendly
27.07.19	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
03.04.16	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
01.11.15	Deportivo Alavés - Albacete Balompié	1:1
16.05.15	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo Alavés	2:3
14.12.14	Deportivo Alavés - Albacete Balompié	2:1

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