Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 15

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	AlbinoLeffe		Lumezzane

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.05	3
	2.02	3.53	3.35	Watch
	2.37	2.96	2.93	Watch
	2.42	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2)	3.14 ↓ (3.4)	3.07 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
40.5%

Draw
29.4%

Lumezzane
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

26.9%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AlbinoLeffe's form might have worsened.

Lumezzane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AlbinoLeffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lumezzane than the current prediction. (-3%)

AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Facchetti L. (G) 28. Gusu M. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 2. Barba B. 8. Lombardi A. 5. Mandelli A. 6. Astrologo A. 3. Giannini E. 34. Svidercoschi S. 11. Sali G.	50. Drago G. (G) 23. Moscati M. 29. Gallea F. 3. Pagliari M. 77. Diodato S. 8. Rocca M. 4. Paghera F. 10. Malotti M. 11. Ghillani A. 19. Rolando M. 20. Caccavo L.
Substitutes
19. Agostinelli M. 20. Ambrosini M. 21. Angeloni M. 12. Baldi G. (G) 45. Borghi E. 10. De Paoli A. 1. Di Chiara S. (G) 7. Garattoni A. 79. Lekaj K. 99. Sarr A. M. 51. Trapletti M.	22. Bonardi F. (G) 30. Cantamessa S. 5. D'Agostino S. 2. Deratti J. 37. Ferretti E. 7. Ferro M. 1. Filigheddu S. (G) 21. Iori M. 95. Motta M. 41. Scanzi M. 39. Serpa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Caccavo L. ⚽,
19', Malotti M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Svidercoschi S. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
46', Giannini E. ↓, Ambrosini M. ↑,
57', Ghillani A. ↓, Iori M. ↑,
65', Astrologo A. ↓, Angeloni M. ↑,
70', Lombardi A. 🟨,
77', Barba B. ↓, Sarr A. M. ↑,
82', Diodato S. ↓, Deratti J. ↑,
83', Malotti M. ↓, Ferro M. ↑,
83', 🟨,
89', Caccavo L. ↓, D'Agostino S. ↑,
90', Sottini E. 🟨,
90', Sottini E. ↓, Garattoni A. ↑,
90+3', Gallea F. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 1.

AlbinoLeffe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lumezzane has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AlbinoLeffe might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, AlbinoLeffe won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
03.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Inter U23	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Brescia - AlbinoLeffe	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Vicenza Virtus - AlbinoLeffe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLLL
- FC Lumezzane
Italian Serie C Group A
15.11.25	Lumezzane - Pro Vercelli	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Pro Patria - Lumezzane	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Lumezzane - Renate	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Lumezzane	3:3 ✺
19.10.25	Lumezzane - Trento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
23.03.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	2:0
10.11.24	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:0
28.04.24	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	2:3
23.12.23	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	3:1
Italian Serie C Group B
15.04.17	Lumezzane - AlbinoLeffe	1:1
04.12.16	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
30.04.16	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	1:2

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