Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251
World	FIFA+


	Brescia		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.25	7.7
	1.38	4.37	8.03
	1.68	3.59	4.92	Watch
	1.35	4.05	9
	1.45	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.67)	4.05 ↑ (3.45)	7.33 ↑ (4.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brescia
64.3%

Draw
23%

AlbinoLeffe
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brescia's performance.

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AlbinoLeffe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brescia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AlbinoLeffe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brescia - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
66. Gori S. (G) 4. Sorensen F. 5. Pasini N. 3. Rizzo A. 11. Cisco A. 6. Mercati A. 8. Balestrero D. (C) 18. De Maria V. 20. Zennaro M. 32. Spagnoli A. 97. Cazzadori D.	22. Facchetti L. (G) 28. Gusu M. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 7. Garattoni A. 42. Lupinetti T. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. 30. Baroni R. 34. Svidercoschi S. 11. Sali G.
Substitutes
82. Armati L. 24. Boci B. 15. De Francesco A. 7. Di Molfetta D. 21. Fogliata R. 37. Giani E. 51. Grazioli N. (G) 1. Liverani L. (G) 17. Maistrello T. 28. Silvestri L. 45. Valente M. 77. Vesentini F. 9. Vido L.	19. Agostinelli M. 20. Ambrosini M. 21. Angeloni M. 6. Astrologo A. 12. Baldi G. (G) 45. Borghi E. 10. De Paoli A. 1. Di Chiara S. (G) 3. Giannini E. 8. Lombardi A. 17. Paganessi T. 99. Sarr A. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Sottini E. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Cisco A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Cazzadori D. ↓, Giani E. ↑,
62', Spagnoli A. ↓, Maistrello T. ↑,
65', Svidercoschi S. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
68', Balestrero D. ↓, De Francesco A. ↑,
68', Cisco A. ↓, Vesentini F. ↑,
75', Facchetti L. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, De Francesco A. ⚽,
79', Lupinetti T. ↓, Sarr A. M. ↑,
83', Pasini N. 🟨,
86', Garattoni A. ↓, Angeloni M. ↑,
86', Sottini E. ↓, Ambrosini M. ↑,
86', Zennaro M. ↓, Fogliata R. ↑,

Preview

Brescia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AlbinoLeffe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Brescia is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Brescia
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.25	Lecco - Brescia	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Pro Patria - Brescia	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Brescia - Pergolettese	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Virtus Verona - Brescia	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Brescia - Novara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTTT
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
19.10.25	Vicenza Virtus - AlbinoLeffe	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lecco	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	AlbinoLeffe - Novara	3:2 ✺
25.09.25	Pro Patria - AlbinoLeffe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTWW

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