Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 23

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: AlbinoLeffe (Zanica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	AlbinoLeffe		Trento

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3	2.65
	2.58	3.1	2.62
	2.91	3.2	2.57
	2.64	3.04	2.64	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.5
	2.74	2.94	2.45	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.45)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	2.55 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AlbinoLeffe
34.1%

Draw
30.1%

Trento
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.3%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

30.1%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AlbinoLeffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trento than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

AlbinoLeffe - Trento Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Chiara S. (G) 2. Barba B. 33. Sciacca G. 23. Sottini E. 7. Garattoni A. 6. Astrologo A. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. (C) 20. Ambrosini M. 11. Sali G. 10. De Paoli A.	1. Barlocco S. (G) 29. Fiamozzi R. 4. Trainotti A. (C) 28. Corradi C. 44. Maffei M. 23. Aucelli C. 14. Fossati M. 20. Benedetti G. 71. Chinetti F. 11. Pellegrini J. 21. Ladisa M.
Substitutes
19. Agostinelli M. 21. Angeloni M. 12. Baldi G. (G) 45. Borghi E. 17. Ciko S. 22. Facchetti L. (G) 3. Giannini E. 79. Lekaj K. 8. Lombardi A. 60. Simonelli T. 9. Sorrentino L.	36. Candelari P. 7. Capone C. 38. Corallo C. 12. Costantini F. (G) 6. Fedele S. 37. Genco A. 39. Miranda K. 19. Muca Z. 22. Tommasi M. (G) 27. Triacca D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Fossati M. ⚽,
51', Astrologo A. 🟨,
56', Astrologo A. ↓, Ciko S. ↑,
56', De Paoli A. ↓, Sorrentino L. ↑,
64', 0 - 2, Chinetti F. ⚽,
67', Fiamozzi R. ↓, Triacca D. ↑,
68', Chinetti F. ↓, Capone C. ↑,
70', Mandelli A. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
70', Sottini E. ↓, Giannini E. ↑,
75', Ladisa M. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Sali G. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
86', Garattoni A. ↓, Angeloni M. ↑,
87', Sorrentino L. 🟨,
89', Pellegrini J. ↓, Corallo C. ↑,
90+2', Angeloni M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, AlbinoLeffe won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Trento	8	3	5	0	11:5	6	14

Last Results with these Odds

AlbinoLeffe - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Trento - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.1%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
18.01.26	Renate - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	AlbinoLeffe - Pro Vercelli	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Dolomiti Bellunesi - AlbinoLeffe	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Alcione	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWL
- AC Trento SCSD
Italian Serie C Group A
17.01.26	Trento - Novara	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Brescia - Trento	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Trento - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Trento - Dolomiti Bellunesi	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Renate - Trento	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
14.09.25	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	2:2
30.03.25	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	5:1
16.11.24	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	0:0
30.03.24	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	2:2
24.11.23	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	1:2
16.04.23	AlbinoLeffe - Trento	1:1
11.12.22	Trento - AlbinoLeffe	0:1

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