Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Nereo Rocco (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Triestina		AlbinoLeffe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	2.98	3.15
	2.38	3.05	3.5
	2.28	2.92	3.26	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.3	2.86	3.15
	2.33	2.8	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.08)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	3.24 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
39.8%

Draw
31.7%

AlbinoLeffe
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.5%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

AlbinoLeffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Triestina - AlbinoLeffe Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Triestina will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Triestina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matosevic K. (G) 28. Pedicillo L. 6. Moretti A. 14. Anzolin M. 26. D'Amore F. 33. Crnigoj D. 17. Jonsson K. 7. Ionita A. (C) 11. Gunduz T. 16. Vicario J. 29. Kljajic N.	22. Facchetti L. (G) 28. Gusu M. 4. Potop S. (C) 23. Sottini E. 7. Garattoni A. 19. Agostinelli M. 5. Mandelli A. 18. Parlati S. 20. Ambrosini M. 11. Sali G. 10. De Paoli A.
Substitutes
22. Borriello F. (G) 10. D'Urso C. 25. Ellertsson M. P. 27. Faggioli A. 5. Kosijer S. 30. Neri F. (G) 3. Palma L. 15. Voca I.	21. Angeloni M. 6. Astrologo A. 12. Baldi G. (G) 2. Barba B. 30. Baroni R. 45. Borghi E. 1. Di Chiara S. (G) 3. Giannini E. 79. Lekaj K. 8. Lombardi A. 99. Sarr A. M. 34. Svidercoschi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Ionita A. (Penalty Awarded),
19', 1 - 1, De Paoli A. ⚽,
29', 2 - 1, Gunduz T. ⚽,
45+1', Gusu M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Agostinelli M. ↓, Lombardi A. ↑,
46', Sottini E. ↓, Baroni R. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Gunduz T. ⚽,
58', Crnigoj D. 🟨,
59', Vicario J. ↓, Faggioli A. ↑,
67', De Paoli A. ↓, Svidercoschi S. ↑,
67', Garattoni A. ↓, Barba B. ↑,
72', Kljajic N. ↓, D'Urso C. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Sali G. ⚽,
76', Pedicillo L. ↓, Silvestri T. ↑,
82', 4 - 2, D'Urso C. ⚽,
84', 5 - 2, Ionita A. ⚽,
85', Parlati S. ↓, Astrologo A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Triestina might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Triestina won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Triestina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.25	Giana Erminio - Triestina	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Triestina - Pro Patria	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Virtus Verona - Triestina	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Triestina - Trento	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Pro Vercelli - Triestina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWTTL
- UC AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A
08.12.25	AlbinoLeffe - Ospitaletto	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Pergolettese - AlbinoLeffe	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Lumezzane	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	AlbinoLeffe - Virtus Verona	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Giana Erminio - AlbinoLeffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.25	AlbinoLeffe - Triestina	2:0
30.10.24	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	0:1
13.01.24	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	2:3
10.09.23	AlbinoLeffe - Triestina	1:2
11.02.23	AlbinoLeffe - Triestina	0:1
16.10.22	Triestina - AlbinoLeffe	0:3
12.02.22	AlbinoLeffe - Triestina	1:1

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