Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Cerro

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.18	2.98	3.35
	2.25	3.07	3.61
	2.23	3.01	3.54	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.4
	2.21	3.01	3.51	Watch
	2.2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.22)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	3.46 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
42.2%

Draw
31%

Cerro
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Albion Montevideo - Cerro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albion: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 34. Pereira A. 17. de los Santos M. 24. Burdin E. 27. Alvarez J. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. (C) 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 10. Airala C. 32. Figueroa T. 11. Toledo H.	25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 23. Farias M. 16. Guasone J. 20. Butti F. 17. Rodriguez G. 5. Macelli A. (C) 31. Amaro J. 21. Mendez A. 29. Paiva S. 9. Morales B. 35. Nongoy P.
Substitutes
30. Acosta B. 15. Alcoba P. 2. Couture F. 13. Lacoste P. 7. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 9. Lopez A. 29. Puente F. 79. Roldan N. 25. Romero A.	10. Aleman B. 6. Bregante F. 22. Cambon A. 40. Capdevila D. (G) 3. Lima A. 32. Mederos R. 8. Miranda A. 18. Sena N. 7. Severo A. 14. Soria N.
Coaches
Nieves F.	Abeijon N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Ginella F. ⚽,
23', Morales B. 🟨,
24', Mendez A. 🟨,
31', Moschion T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Morales B. ↓, Mederos R. ↑,
46', Aleman B. 🟥,
57', Farias M. ↓, Sena N. ↑,
57', Mendez A. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
60', Toledo H. ↓, Roldan N. ↑,
60', Figueroa T. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
64', Lopez A. 🟨,
66', de los Santos M. 🟨,
67', Guasone J. 🟨,
69', Burdin E. 🟨,
76', Amaro J. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
78', Pereira A. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
78', Alvarez J. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
82', Paiva S. ↓, Soria N. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Airala C. ⚽,
86', Rodriguez Trezza L. ↓, Lacoste P. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,

Preview

Cerro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Albion will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Albion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Albion won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.39%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
18.01.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	2:1 penalties ✺
13.01.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
26.10.25	Albion Montevideo - Central Español	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tacuarembó - Albion Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWTL
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.02.26	Cerro - Danubio	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
14.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Cerro - Boston River	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cerro - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
25.10.25	Cerro - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
16.09.21	Cerro - Albion Montevideo	1:0
01.06.21	Albion Montevideo - Cerro	1:2

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