Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: Heras H. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Cerro		Boston River

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.38	Watch
	3	2.95	2.3
	3.05	2.88	2.42
	3.15	2.94	2.6
	3.1	2.85	2.56	Watch
	3	2.75	2.5
	3.04	2.89	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.12)	2.87 ↓ (2.94)	2.47 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
30.3%

Draw
32.3%

Boston River
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Cerro - Boston River Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Boston River will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerro (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 18. Sena N. 3. Lima A. 16. Guasone J. 17. Rodriguez G. 32. Mederos R. 5. Macelli A. (C) 8. Miranda A. 27. Barros C. 14. Soria N. 35. Nongoy P.	1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 30. Gonzalez M. (C) 13. Fernandez I. 24. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 5. Barrios F. 10. Amado A. 32. Gonzalez Y. 11. Ramirez G. 16. Suhr L. 8. Bonfiglio F.
Substitutes
10. Aleman B. 31. Amaro J. 4. Arguello M. 20. Butti F. 40. Capdevila D. (G) 21. Mendez A. 9. Morales B. 29. Paiva S. 33. Rijo T. 7. Severo A.	25. Aguirre A. 14. Dafonte F. 9. Gonzalez A. 12. Gonzalez J. (G) 22. Martinez F. 26. Munoa F. 21. Perez F. 99. Reyna G. 6. Romero A. 2. Sotto K.
Coaches
Abeijon N.	Damonte I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', O'Neill Lopez J. S. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Macelli A. ⚽,
36', Barrios F. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Suhr L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramirez G. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,
46', O'Neill Lopez J. S. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
46', Acosta J. ↓, Sotto K. ↑,
46', Bonfiglio F. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
50', Amado A. 🟨,
53', Sotto K. 🟨,
62', Nongoy P. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
62', Miranda A. ↓, Amaro J. ↑,
62', Soria N. ↓, Paiva S. ↑,
77', Fernandez I. ↓, Aguirre A. ↑,
80', Mederos R. ↓, Rijo T. ↑,
90', Gonzalez Y. 🟨,
90+3', Severo A. 🟨,
90+4', Lima A. 🟨,
90+4', Martinez F. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 0.

Boston River's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	CA Cerro	9	4	2	3	9:11	-2	14
11	Boston River	9	2	3	4	10:12	-2	9

Last Results with these Odds

Cerro - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.94%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Boston River - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
20.02.26	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
16.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Cerro	3:0 ✺
09.02.26	Cerro - Danubio	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
14.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Cerro - Boston River	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLLT
- Boston River
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.02.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Danubio - Boston River	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
29.01.26	Boston River - Progreso	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Cerro - Boston River	0:0
19.05.25	Boston River - Cerro	0:0
18.11.24	Cerro - Boston River	0:0
06.07.24	Boston River - Cerro	2:0
19.05.24	Boston River - Cerro	2:0
27.08.23	Cerro - Boston River	1:2
12.02.23	Boston River - Cerro	0:3

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