Match Info

URUGUAY: Segunda Division - Round 22

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Albion Montevideo		Plaza Colonia

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.15	2.9	2.29
	3.33	2.92	2.33
	3.35	2.88	2.38	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.25
	3.22	2.91	2.25
	3.15	2.9	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	2.88 (2.88)	2.3 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
28.6%

Draw
31.7%

Plaza Colonia
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

31.7%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

32.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Plaza Colonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Albion Montevideo - Plaza Colonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Ribas S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
68', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 2).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Albion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Plaza Colonia will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Albion won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Albion won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.10.24	Oriental de La Paz - Albion Montevideo	1:1 ✺
01.10.24	Albion Montevideo - Cerrito	0:3 ✺
25.09.24	Juventud de Las Piedras - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Albion Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
18.09.24	San Carlos de Maldonado - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLTWW
- Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Copa
09.10.24	Plaza Colonia - Piriápolis	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.10.24	Plaza Colonia - Colón Montevideo	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Sud América - Plaza Colonia	3:3 ✺
25.09.24	Plaza Colonia - La Luz	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.07.24	Plaza Colonia - Albion Montevideo	0:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.22	Albion Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	1:0
19.03.22	Plaza Colonia - Albion Montevideo	1:1

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