Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Fernandez A. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albion Montevideo		Racing Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.7	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.58	3	2.72
	2.64	3.11	2.92
	2.74	3.06	2.69	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
	2.51	3.14	2.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.67)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	2.74 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albion Montevideo
35.8%

Draw
30.5%

Racing Montevideo
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albion Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Racing Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albion Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Albion will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaume S. (G) 34. Pereira A. 17. de los Santos M. 24. Burdin E. 16. Alvarez J. 6. Moschion T. 5. Ginella F. (C) 21. Rodriguez Trezza L. 79. Roldan N. 32. Figueroa T. 11. Toledo H.	1. Machado F. (G) 4. Cotugno G. (C) 13. Alvarez F. 3. Brazionis 37. Oyarzo Y. 14. De Los Santos E. 8. Cairus F. 24. Perez J. 39. Vazquez A. 11. Suarez F. 81. Manzur I.
Substitutes
30. Acosta B. 15. Alcoba P. 2. Couture F. 13. Lacoste P. 7. Leonardo Pais 31. Lerda D. (G) 9. Lopez A. 29. Puente F. 25. Romero A. 22. Vera A.	21. Alvarez Wallace A. 40. Atum A. 5. Bosca J. 16. Da Silva E. 19. Dudok R. 29. Gonzalez F. 18. Habib T. 2. Parada F. 23. Sosa N. 12. Varese F. (G)
Coaches
Nieves F.	Chambian C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Suarez F. ⚽,
9', Pereira A. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
32', de los Santos M. ↓, Lacoste P. ↑,
36', Oyarzo Y. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Toledo H. ⚽,
45+1', Romero A. 🟨,
45+4', Cairus F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lopez A. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
46', Suarez F. ↓, Da Silva E. ↑,
46', Perez J. ↓, Habib T. ↑,
46', Manzur I. ↓, Alvarez Wallace A. ↑,
58', Cairus F. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
60', Lacoste P. 🟨,
65', Roldan N. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
65', Toledo H. ↓, Puente F. ↑,
66', Rodriguez Trezza L. 🟨,
67', 1 - 2, Da Silva E. ⚽,
74', Oyarzo Y. ↓, Sosa N. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Cotugno G. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Albion won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Albion won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Racing Montevideo	9	3	3	3	9:8	1	12
16	Albion	9	1	0	8	9:18	-9	3

Last Results with these Odds

Racing Montevideo - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.65%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albion Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.02.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Cerro	3:0 ✺
06.02.26	Albion Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
18.01.26	Boston River - Albion Montevideo	2:1 penalties ✺
13.01.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWLLW
- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.02.26	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Nacional Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Racing Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	2:4 ✺
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
19.01.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Serie Rio de la Plata
19.01.26	Racing Montevideo - Universidad de Concepción	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTLL?

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
09.11.21	Racing Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:1
28.07.21	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:0
10.11.20	Albion Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	1:2
15.09.20	Racing Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	1:1

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