Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 18

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Albirex Niigata		Ehime

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.6
	2.48	2.98	2.68	Watch
	2.59	3	2.9
	2.5	3.09	2.89	Watch
	2.63	2.88	2.5
	2.43	2.9	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.42)	2.96 ↓ (3.12)	2.73 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
36%

Draw
30.7%

Ehime
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ehime has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ehime than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Albirex Niigata - Ehime Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Yoshimitsu D. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 34. Fujiwara Y. 77. Funaki K. 3. Kato T. 30. Okumura J. 8. Shirai E. 7. Onishi Y. 17. Shimabuku K. 18. Wakatsuki Y. 46. Kasai K.	36. Tsuji S. (G) 5. Kuroishi T. 50. Sugiyama K. 16. Hosoya K. 49. Abe R. 24. Miyamoto K. 70. Maeda R. 14. Saito R. 22. Takemoto Y. 38. Hino S. 17. Taguchi Y.
Substitutes
5. Fitzgerald M. 15. Hayakawa F. 40. Ishiyama A. 38. Mori K. 24. Mori R. 48. Otake Y. 26. Sato M. 28. Shimamura T. 71. Uchiyama S. (G)	27. Funahashi K. 99. Kabayama R. 26. Kanazawa K. 39. Muto H. 31. Shirasaka F. (G) 13. Yamashita Y. 48. Yukutomo T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Sugiyama K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Kato T. ⚽, Fujiwara S. (A),
61', Taguchi Y. ↓, Kabayama R. ↑,
61', Hosoya K. ↓, Kanazawa K. ↑,
62', Kanazawa K. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Kasai K. ⚽,
83', Abe R. ↓, Muto H. ↑,
83', Takemoto Y. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
87', Okumura J. ↓, Hayakawa F. ↑,
87', Shimabuku K. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
90+1', Shirai E. ↓, Otake Y. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Albirex Niigata - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.84%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 J3 League
16.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Albirex Niigata	2:1 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Albirex Niigata	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWL
- Ehime FC
Japan J2 J3 League
17.05.26	Kochi United - Ehime	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Ehime - Kataller Toyama	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Zweigen Kanazawa - Ehime	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Ehime	0:6 ✺
29.04.26	Ehime - Imabari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
07.02.26	Ehime - Albirex Niigata	0:1
Japan J2 League
13.11.21	Albirex Niigata - Ehime	2:0
24.04.21	Ehime - Albirex Niigata	0:2
25.11.20	Albirex Niigata - Ehime	0:3
23.09.20	Ehime - Albirex Niigata	0:0
13.10.19	Ehime - Albirex Niigata	0:1
18.05.19	Albirex Niigata - Ehime	2:3

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