Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)


	Albirex Niigata		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.75
	1.88	3.5	3.9
	1.88	3.3	3.9
	1.93	3.52	4.28
	1.85	3.2	3.9
	1.94	3.52	3.82	Watch
	1.9	3.35	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)	3.39 ↑ (3.36)	3.96 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
49.1%

Draw
27.4%

Mito HollyHock
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

27.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: Albirex Niigata will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 3.

Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mito HollyHock is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Niigata is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Niigata won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
14.09.22	Ventforet Kofu - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	Albirex Niigata - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
14.09.22	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Grulla Morioka - Mito HollyHock	1:0 ✺
03.09.22	Vegalta Sendai - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
27.08.22	Mito HollyHock - Ryūkyū	0:0 ✺
23.08.22	Mito HollyHock - Oita Trinita	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.05.22	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	0:3
28.08.21	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	4:0
26.06.21	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	0:0
18.10.20	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	1:3
25.07.20	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	1:0
28.09.19	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	3:0
28.04.19	Mito HollyHock - Albirex Niigata	0:0

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