Match Info

Date: 22 August 2021, Sunday


	Albirex Niigata		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	6	Watch
	1.58	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.58	3.6	5.6
	1.62	4.04	5.77
	1.52	3.6	6.5
	1.62	3.84	5.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	3.71 ↓ (3.91)	5.74 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
58.8%

Draw
25%

Sagamihara
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.8%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

15%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Albirex Niigata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagamihara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Albirex Niigata - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Niigata is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Niigata won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
14.08.21	JEF United Chiba - Albirex Niigata	0:0 ✺
09.08.21	Albirex Niigata - Omiya Ardija	2:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
04.08.21	Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata	3:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.07.21	Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata	1:1 ✺
11.07.21	Albirex Niigata - Tochigi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TTLTW
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 League
14.08.21	Sagamihara - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
09.08.21	Sagamihara - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
18.07.21	Machida Zelvia - Sagamihara	1:0 ✺
11.07.21	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sagamihara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
04.04.21	Sagamihara - Albirex Niigata	2:2

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