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Current Win Probability
Kyoto Sanga 48.3%
Draw 26.9%
Albirex Niigata 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
28.1%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.3%
27.5%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
89.7%
2.6%
7.7%
Kyoto Sanga - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(34 of 38 users predict this - 89.47%). Confidence interval (95%): 79.71% โ 99.23%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kyoto Sanga will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Ota G. (G) 2. Fukuda S. 24. Miyamoto Y. 50. Suzuki Y. 22. Sugai H. 10. Fukuoka S. 7. Kawasaki S. 39. Hirato T. 11. Marco Tulio 93. Nagasawa S. 14. Hara T.
1. Fujita K. (G) 15. Hayakawa F. 5. Fitzgerald M. 35. Chiba K. 42. Hashimoto K. 11. Danilo Gomes 6. Akiyama H. 19. Hoshi Y. 30. Okumura J. 41. Hasegawa M. 46. Kasai K.
Substitutes
5. Appiah Tawiah H. 3. Asada S. 31. Hiraga S. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 25. Leo Gomes 18. Matsuda T. 77. Murilo de Souza 48. Nakano R. 4. Patrick William
22. Arai T. 8. Miyamoto E. 99. Ono Y. 48. Otake Y. 28. Ota S. 33. Takagi Y. 21. Tashiro R. (G) 18. Wakatsuki Y. 9. Yamura K.
Coaches
Jo Gwi-Jae
Irie T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Danilo Gomes ⚽, Kasai K. (A),
34', 1 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
42', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Marco Tulio ⚽, Hara T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Danilo Gomes ↓, Ota S. ↑,
57', Kasai K. ↓, Ono Y. ↑,
59', Nagasawa S. ↓, Matsuda T. ↑,
64', Hasegawa M. 🟨,
77', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
81', Hayakawa F. ↓, Miyamoto E. ↑,
86', Kawasaki S. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
86', Marco Tulio ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
87', Hasegawa M. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
90+4', Hirato T. ↓, Asada S. ↑,
90+4', Hara T. ↓, Hiraga S. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
Kyoto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Niigata has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kyoto might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Kyoto: Sato K.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio
(Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 0.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1.2).
China
Japan
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Ota G. (G) 
Marco Tulio 
Jo Gwi-Jae 
