The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerezo Osaka 53.6%
Draw 24.6%
Albirex Niigata 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
23.1%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.4%
22.6%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.1%
5.6%
8.3%
Cerezo Osaka - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Cerezo Osaka (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cerezo Osaka will win
(30 of 34 users predict this - 88.24%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.41% – 99.07%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cerezo Osaka will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Cerezo Osaka (votes: 18 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Fukui K. (G) 27. Cools D. 31. Inoue R. 44. Hatanaka S. 16. Okuda H. 5. Kida H. 10. Tanaka S. 77. Fernandes L. 48. Shibayama M. 19. Homma S. 13. Nakajima M.
1. Fujita K. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 35. Chiba K. 77. Funaki K. 31. Horigome Y. 46. Kasai K. 22. Arai T. 8. Shirai E. 30. Okumura J. 65. Boudah A. 41. Hasegawa M.
Substitutes
29. Furuyama K. 8. Kagawa S. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 33. Nishio R. 9. Rafael Ratao 17. Sakata R. 11. Thiago Andrade 55. Vitor Bueno 35. Yoshino K.
42. Hashimoto K. 15. Hayakawa F. 14. Ohara M. 28. Shimamura T. 33. Takagi Y. 7. Taniguchi K. 21. Tashiro R. (G) 50. Uemura H. 9. Yamura K.
Coaches
Papastamatis A.
Irie T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Horigome Y. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Nakajima M. ⚽, Fernandes L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 1, Fernandes L. ⚽, Homma S. (A),
61', Kasai K. ↓, Shimamura T. ↑,
61', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
71', Nakajima M. ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
71', Homma S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
73', Okumura J. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
73', Arai T. ↓, Uemura H. ↑,
78', Kida H. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
78', Inoue R. ↓, Nishio R. ↑,
78', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
81', 3 - 1, Fujiwara S. (Own goal),
82', Shirai E. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
84', Shibayama M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 1.
Cerezo Osaka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Niigata is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Cerezo Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Cerezo Osaka is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Inactive)
Takahashi N.
(Foot Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Niigata: Fitzgerald M.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Niigata: Hashimoto K.
(Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
Australia
China
Hong-kong
India
Japan
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Fukui K. (G) 
Cools D. 
Fernandes L. 
Boudah A. 
Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 
Papastamatis A. 
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