Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Referee: Kawamata S. (Jpn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Albirex Niigata		Omiya Ardija

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	7	Watch
	1.47	3.9	5.5
	1.5	4.1	5.75
	1.46	4.1	6.2
	1.5	4.44	6.91
	1.42	3.75	7
	1.49	4.33	6.3	Watch
	1.48	4.2	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.6)	4.13 ↑ (3.3)	6.38 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
62.9%

Draw
22.5%

Omiya Ardija
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

27.3%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

26.2%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Albirex Niigata's performance.

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.7%	11.8%	23.5%

Albirex Niigata - Omiya Ardija Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albirex Niigata: 42% – 87.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 1.

Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Omiya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Niigata is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Niigata won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 24-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan J2 League
18.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Mito HollyHock	2:0 ✺
14.09.22	Ventforet Kofu - Albirex Niigata	1:2 ✺
10.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Ryūkyū	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Albirex Niigata - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Grulla Morioka - Albirex Niigata	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLW
- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League
18.09.22	Omiya Ardija - Tochigi	3:1 ✺
14.09.22	Omiya Ardija - Oita Trinita	2:2 ✺
10.09.22	Ventforet Kofu - Omiya Ardija	0:3 ✺
04.09.22	Roasso Kumamoto - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Omiya Ardija - Machida Zelvia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
25.02.22	Omiya Ardija - Albirex Niigata	2:2
09.08.21	Albirex Niigata - Omiya Ardija	2:2
05.05.21	Omiya Ardija - Albirex Niigata	2:3
20.12.20	Omiya Ardija - Albirex Niigata	3:1
08.08.20	Albirex Niigata - Omiya Ardija	1:1
16.11.19	Omiya Ardija - Albirex Niigata	1:1
06.07.19	Albirex Niigata - Omiya Ardija	2:1

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