Match Info

Date: 18 July 2021, Sunday


	Machida Zelvia		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.3	5.6	Watch
	1.71	3.2	5.2
	1.73	3.48	5.85
	1.65	3.2	5.8
	1.73	3.44	5.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)	3.35 ↓ (3.8)	5.58 ↓ (6.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
55.2%

Draw
28%

Sagamihara
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.6%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

14.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machida Zelvia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagamihara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Machida Zelvia - Sagamihara Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Machida Zelvia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sagamihara is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sagamihara could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
11.07.21	Machida Zelvia - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
03.07.21	Tochigi - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
27.06.21	Machida Zelvia - Ehime	5:0 ✺
20.06.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Machida Zelvia	0:1 ✺
13.06.21	Machida Zelvia - Blaublitz Akita	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J2 League
11.07.21	Ryūkyū - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
07.07.21	Urawa Red Diamonds - Sagamihara	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
03.07.21	Sagamihara - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:0 ✺
26.06.21	Blaublitz Akita - Sagamihara	1:1 ✺
20.06.21	Sagamihara - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
09.05.21	Sagamihara - Machida Zelvia	1:1

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