Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Alcalá		Pozuelo de Alarcón

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.75	6
	1.44	3.87	6.14
	1.45	3.87	6.14
	1.46	3.84	6.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.59)	3.83 ↑ (3.5)	6.23 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
62%

Draw
23.5%

Pozuelo de Alarcón
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

25.1%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Sanchez B. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, Portero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 3 - 0, Sanchez B. ⚽,
72', 4 - 0, Zotes P. ⚽,
83', 4 - 1, Sosa P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 1.

Recent matches Alcalá is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pozuelo de Alarcón has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alcalá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alcalá is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Alcalá won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcalá won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
31.03.24	Paracuellos Antamira - Alcalá	0:3 ✺
24.03.24	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Canillas - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
09.03.24	Alcalá - Siello	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTTW
- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
28.03.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Torrejón	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Alcorcón B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Real Madrid C	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	4:0 ✺
03.03.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.11.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	1:0
01.04.23	Alcalá - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:1
04.12.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	0:0
26.01.22	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	2:1
19.09.21	Alcalá - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:0
28.02.21	Alcalá - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0
29.11.20	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Alcalá	0:0

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