The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vicenza Virtus 68.2%
Draw 21.3%
Alcione 10.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
68.4%
21.1%
10.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.6%
19.9%
9.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Vicenza Virtus - Alcione Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Gagno R. (G) 5. Cappelletti D. 6. Leverbe M. 27. Sandon T. 28. Caferri L. 29. Zonta L. 4. Carraro M. 24. Alessio F. 44. Talarico R. 7. Rauti N. 9. Morra C.
22. Agazzi F. (G) 25. Pirola F. 6. Ciappellano D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 73. Scuderi G. 8. Muroni M. 23. Galli G. 33. Invernizzi A. 70. Bright K. 10. Pitou J. 32. Tordini M.
Substitutes
1. Basso M. (G) 23. Benassai F. 10. Capello A. 8. Cavion M. 32. Costa F. 14. Cuomo G. 13. Golin M. 12. Massolo S. (G) 26. Pellizzari G. 77. Rada A. 11. Stuckler D. 19. Tribuzzi A. 33. Vescovi M. 99. Vitale M.
3. Chierichetti P. 81. Gallazzi F. 16. Lanzi J. 18. Lopes E. 31. Marconi M. 21. Olivieri D. 9. Plescia V. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 7. Renault G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Tordini M. 🟨,
34', Talarico R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Alessio F. ↓, Vitale M. ↑,
58', Talarico R. ↓, Tribuzzi A. ↑,
66', Zonta L. ↓, Pellizzari G. ↑,
66', Rauti N. ↓, Stuckler D. ↑,
73', Bright K. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
74', Ciappellano D. ↓, Chierichetti P. ↑,
74', Morra C. ↓, Capello A. ↑,
75', Tordini M. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
83', 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Vicenza Virtus has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Alcione has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vicenza Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Vicenza Virtus is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Vicenza Virtus will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vicenza Virtus won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Vicenza Virtus won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.