Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 25

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Ernesto Breda (Sesto San Giovanni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Alcione		Union ArzignanoChiampo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.95	2.87
	2.52	2.98	2.78	Watch
	2.67	3	2.92
	2.53	2.96	2.82	Watch
	2.6	2.75	2.63
	2.56	2.79	2.75	Watch
	2.62	2.83	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.14)	2.89 ↓ (3.22)	2.81 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
36%

Draw
31.5%

Union ArzignanoChiampo
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

28.6%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcione's form might have worsened.

Union ArzignanoChiampo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcione, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union ArzignanoChiampo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Agazzi F. (G) 25. Pirola F. 6. Ciappellano D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 73. Scuderi G. 8. Muroni M. 23. Galli G. 18. Lopes E. 10. Pitou J. 33. Invernizzi A. 11. Morselli F.	22. Manfrin F. (G) 23. Bernardi E. 26. Boccia S. 57. Milillo A. 13. Cariolato F. 15. Bianchi N. 6. Lakti E. 19. Toniolo F. 16. Moretti M. 10. Minesso M. 9. Mattioli A.
Substitutes
3. Chierichetti P. 16. Lanzi J. 31. Marconi M. 5. Miculi A. 21. Olivieri D. 9. Plescia V. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 7. Renault G. 32. Tordini M.	1. Bertini T. (G) 37. Boffelli A. 17. Castegnaro L. 4. Chiarello R. 8. Damiani M. 47. Jamali N. 7. Lanzi E. 12. Lotto R. (G) 32. Nanni N. 90. Nwachukwu S. J. 18. Perini G. 5. Rossoni S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Pirola F. ⚽,
57', Toniolo F. 🟨,
64', Toniolo F. ↓, Boffelli A. ↑,
65', Mattioli A. ↓, Nanni N. ↑,
65', Bianchi N. ↓, Castegnaro L. ↑,
65', Galli G. ↓, Lanzi J. ↑,
65', Lopes E. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
75', Invernizzi A. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
75', Morselli F. ↓, Plescia V. ↑,
76', Minesso M. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
77', Cariolato F. ↓, Lanzi E. ↑,
80', Muroni M. 🟨,
89', Pitou J. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
90+3', Bernardi E. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alcione won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Alcione won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arzignano	9	5	2	2	14:10	4	17
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Union ArzignanoChiampo - the odds 3.24 are the expected chance of winning is 28.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
02.02.26	Renate - Alcione	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Alcione - Dolomiti Bellunesi	5:0 ✺
17.01.26	Lumezzane - Alcione	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Alcione - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Triestina - Alcione	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWLWW
- Union ArzignanoChiampo
Italian Serie C Group A
31.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Triestina	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	Giana Erminio - Union ArzignanoChiampo	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Virtus Verona - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Brescia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.09.25	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Alcione	1:3
15.02.25	Alcione - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1
05.10.24	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Alcione	0:2

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