Match Info

Serie C - Group A - Round 33

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Silvio Piola (Novara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256


	Novara		Alcione

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.85	3.5
	2.08	3	3.65
	2.05	2.93	4.34
	2.08	2.98	3.69	Watch
	2	2.8	3.6
	2.05	3.04	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.27)	2.93 ↓ (3.02)	3.79 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novara
44.6%

Draw
31.2%

Alcione
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Novara - Alcione Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Novara will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Novara (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boseggia E. (G) 26. Lorenzini F. (C) 28. Cannavaro A. 3. Lartey S. 70. Valdesi A. 99. Basso G. 19. Collodel R. 72. Agyemang G. 11. Ledonne N. 7. Lanini E. 20. da Graca C.	22. Agazzi F. (G) 73. Scuderi G. 65. Giorgeschi S. 5. Miculi A. 3. Chierichetti P. 70. Bright K. 16. Lanzi J. 8. Muroni M. 33. Invernizzi A. 10. Pitou J. 9. Plescia V.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 36. Arboscello R. 6. Citi A. 65. Cortese A. 71. D'Alessio L. 17. Dell'Erba D. 8. Di Cosmo L. 4. Malaspina M. 23. Morosini L. 16. Raffaelli M. (G) 12. Rossetti M. (G) 2. Scarpetta J. 77. Sibilio R.	81. Gallazzi F. 23. Galli G. 27. Lione M. 18. Lopes E. 31. Marconi M. 21. Olivieri D. 25. Pirola F. 1. Raffaelli F. (G) 17. Rebaudo R. 7. Renault G. 32. Tordini M. 30. Zamparo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Cannavaro A. 🟨,
14', Giorgeschi S. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Lanini E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Lanini E. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Chierichetti P. 🟨,
61', Muroni M. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
61', Pitou J. ↓, Tordini M. ↑,
68', Valdesi A. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
68', Basso G. ↓, Di Cosmo L. ↑,
69', Scuderi G. 🟨,
71', Bright K. ↓, Lopes E. ↑,
71', Invernizzi A. ↓, Olivieri D. ↑,
80', Lartey S. ↓, Scarpetta J. ↑,
80', Ledonne N. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
80', Lanzi J. ↓, Rebaudo R. ↑,
84', Lanini E. ↓, Morosini L. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, D'Alessio L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Novara is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Alcione has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alcione may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Novara will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Novara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Novara won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Alcione Milano	8	2	5	1	12:13	-1	11
13	Novara	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Novara - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Novara Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
15.03.26	Lecco - Novara	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Novara - Pergolettese	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Virtus Verona - Novara	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Union ArzignanoChiampo - Novara	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Novara - Giana Erminio	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTWTW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie C Group A
13.03.26	Alcione - Brescia	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Pro Patria - Alcione	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Alcione - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Inter U23 - Alcione	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Alcione - Pergolettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
16.11.25	Alcione - Novara	0:1
09.02.25	Novara - Alcione	1:1
28.09.24	Alcione - Novara	2:1

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