Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 4

Date: 1 September 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo (Alcorcón)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)


	Alcorcón		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.28	2.95	3.5
	2.33	2.94	3.87
	2.21	3.13	3.52	Watch
	2.23	3	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.35)	3 ↓ (3.07)	3.59 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
42%

Draw
31.6%

Ferrol
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

30.6%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

31.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	43.7%	37.5%

Alcorcón - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Ferrol will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ruiz J. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 6. Babin J. 3. Morillas D. 8. Rodriganez J. 5. Mosquera P. 18. Eteki Y. 26. Hernandez E. 21. Obieta K. 9. Borrego C.	25. Cantero A. (G) 24. Cubero S. 5. Clemente E. 4. Garcia H. J. 18. Martinez B. 23. Vicente C. 10. Sene J. 6. Bernal J. 7. Pena H. 19. Sabin 22. Losada I.
Substitutes
13. Anacker L. (G) 22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 23. Chema 17. Garcia V. 10. Juanma Bravo 15. Lara J. 14. Lopez A. 19. Quintilla X. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 11. Sousa D.	15. Castro D. 2. Delmas J. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 20. Gimenez A. 9. Justo M. 8. Lopez A. 16. Manzanara F. 21. Moi 3. Pumar F.
Coaches
Fernandez F.	Parralo C.

Preview

Recent matches Alcorcón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Alcorcón will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcorcón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcorcón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish LaLiga2
26.08.23	Valladolid - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
19.08.23	Alcorcón - Leganés	0:2 ✺
14.08.23	Mirandés - Alcorcón	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Albacete Balompié - Alcorcón	0:1 ✺
02.08.23	Elche - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLLWT
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
27.08.23	Ferrol - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Elche - Ferrol	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.23	Real Oviedo - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Pontevedra - Ferrol	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.03.23	Alcorcón - Ferrol	0:1
17.12.22	Ferrol - Alcorcón	1:2

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