Match Info

Date: 17 January 2021, Sunday


	Alcorcón		Valencia

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.25	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.3
	4.6	3.45	1.72
	3.33	3.23	2.31
	3.2	3.2	2.3
	3.18	3.34	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (4.76)	3.23 ↓ (3.54)	2.2 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcorcón
27.6%

Draw
29.3%

Valencia
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

26.5%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

16%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcorcón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcorcón's performance.

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valencia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	8.6%	71.4%

Alcorcón - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 7 - 20%). Valencia will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 56.4% – 86.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Alcorcón is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Valencia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Valencia have a series of guest games.

Valencia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.21	Alcorcón - Zaragoza	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.21	Rayo Vallecano - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
20.12.20	Alcorcón - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Lealtad - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.20	Las Palmas - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWT
- CF Valencia
Maldivian Dhivehi Premier League
16.01.21	Da Grande - Valencia	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.21	Valladolid - Valencia	0:1 ✺
Maldivian Dhivehi Premier League
09.01.21	TC Sports Club - Valencia	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Yeclano Deportivo - Valencia	1:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.01.21	Valencia - Cádiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTWT

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