Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Vivero (Badajoz)


	Badajoz		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.5
	1.83	3.25	3.7
	1.85	3.15	4
	1.85	3.35	3.65
	1.91	3.31	4.29
	1.8	3.34	4.2
	1.9	3.45	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.93)	3.34 ↑ (3.1)	3.88 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badajoz
49.2%

Draw
27.3%

Ceuta
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

30%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badajoz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ceuta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Badajoz - Ceuta Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Badajoz will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Ceuta will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Badajoz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Badajoz is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Badajoz
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.10.22	Badajoz - Ferrol	0:3 ✺
25.09.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
17.09.22	Badajoz - Algeciras	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Badajoz	2:2 ✺
03.09.22	Badajoz - San Fernando	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.10.22	Ceuta - Algeciras	1:3 ✺
25.09.22	Rayo Majadahonda - Ceuta	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Ceuta - Celta de Vigo B	1:3 ✺
11.09.22	Fuenlabrada - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Leonesa - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL

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