Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 7 December 2023, Thursday


	Melilla		Eibar

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.57	Watch
	6	4	1.57	Watch
	6	4	1.53	Watch
	5.88	3.9	1.54
	5.88	3.9	1.55
	5.5	3.8	1.5	Watch
	6.1	4.1	1.55	Watch
	5.8	3.85	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.96 ↑ (4.84)	3.92 ↑ (3.82)	1.55 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
15.7%

Draw
23.8%

Eibar
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

24.1%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

23.6%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Melilla - Eibar Predictions

Users Predictions: Eibar will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Salcedo J. (G) 23. Cantarero O. 8. Cotan A. 22. Gnali J. 12. Hernandez D. 9. Jose Enrique 14. Marchena A. 15. Martin D. 19. Rodriguez M. (C) 4. Suarez D. 3. Yuste A.	13. Yoel (G) 28. Alday I. 27. de la Fuente K. 32. Muguruza A. 7. Quique 11. Rahmani Y. 21. Rios Reina J. 22. Simic S. 30. Soriano M. 14. Vencedor U. 12. Yriarte J.
Substitutes
16. Caro J. 20. Garcia D. 7. Garcia M. 6. Martin A. 26. Mimun A. 1. Montoya J. (G) 2. Pepe Romero 24. Serrano J. (G) 18. Siddiki O. 11. Vinicius Tanque	17. Corpas J. 2. Gutierrez C. 29. Madariaga A. 9. Qasmi Y. 15. Tejero A. 31. Troncho A. 1. Zidane L. (G)
Coaches
Sabas J.	Etxeberria J.

Preview

Melilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Eibar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Eibar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Eibar is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.12.23	Melilla - Córdoba	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	San Fernando - Melilla	4:1 ✺
19.11.23	Melilla - Ibiza	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Alcoyano - Melilla	3:0 ✺
05.11.23	Melilla - Atlético Madrid B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW
- SD Eibar
Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.23	Villarreal B - Eibar	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Eibar - Levante	3:1 ✺
19.11.23	Real Oviedo - Eibar	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Eibar - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
03.11.23	Espanyol - Eibar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLTT

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