Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 27

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Alcoyano		Castellón

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	1.91
	3.75	2.9	1.95
	3.75	3.2	2	Watch
	3.95	3.13	2.06
	3.97	3.1	2.07
	3.87	3.13	2
	3.8	3.05	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.02)	3.07 ↑ (2.87)	1.99 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcoyano
23.9%

Draw
29.9%

Castellón
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

32.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

32.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcoyano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcoyano's form might have worsened.

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcoyano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alcoyano - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 4. Vega A. 2. Ferriz P. 18. Anton J. 21. Lara J. A. 6. Garcia I. 8. Juanan 5. Albisua H. 10. Aguero 23. de Palmas R.	1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 17. Ruiz S. (C) 16. Sanchez M. 8. Gracia J. 23. Calavera J. 19. Villahermosa D. 15. Traore M. 7. Moyita S. 21. Kastaneer G.
Substitutes
7. Armental A. 14. Carrasco K. 16. Farru 11. Ganet P. 15. Jimenez J. 1. Perales J. (G) 9. Pradera M. 12. Selma D.	11. Aurelio D. 13. Carney J. (G) 14. Gil O. 20. Iosifov N. 3. Lottin A. 4. Medunjanin H. 27. Minana S. 29. Punzano I. 10. Sanchez R. 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 33. Vertrouwd J.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alcoyano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Castellón will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcoyano won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.03.24	Atlético Madrid B - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Alcoyano - Málaga	0:3 ✺
18.02.24	Melilla - Alcoyano	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Alcoyano - Real Murcia	2:3 ✺
03.02.24	Algeciras - Alcoyano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLWLT
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
03.03.24	Castellón - San Fernando	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético Baleares - Castellón	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mérida AD - Castellón	2:1 ✺
11.02.24	Castellón - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Atlético Madrid B - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Castellón - Alcoyano	2:0
12.03.23	Castellón - Alcoyano	1:0
15.10.22	Alcoyano - Castellón	0:1
01.04.22	Castellón - Alcoyano	0:0
09.02.22	Alcoyano - Castellón	1:1
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.19	Alcoyano - Castellón	4:3 penalties
Club Friendly
17.08.19	Alcoyano - Castellón	1:2

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