The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldershot Town 24.6%
Draw 25.4%
Grimsby Town 49.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
26.5%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.5%
20.4%
59.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grimsby Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
2.2%
0.7%
97.1%
Aldershot Town - Grimsby Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Grimsby Town will win
(134 of 138 users predict this - 97.1%). Confidence interval (95%): 94.3% – 99.9%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Aldershot has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Grimsby is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Aldershot won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Aldershot won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.