Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 30 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Recreation Ground (Aldershot)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Aldershot Town		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	3.8
	1.82	3.85	3.7
	1.8	4.35	3.72
	1.78	3.84	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)	3.99 ↑ (3.73)	3.77 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldershot Town
52%

Draw
23.3%

Braintree Town
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

24.8%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

23.7%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Aldershot Town - Braintree Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aldershot (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dewhurst M. (G) 10. Barrett J. (C) 7. Hargreaves C. 19. Hill R. 5. Jackson B. 11. Jones R. 14. Meerholz J. 24. Mullins M. 28. Taylor A. 34. Tetek D. 9. Thomas K.	1. Terry M. (G) 14. Akinde J. 21. Clayton R. 11. Cooper C. 2. Francis-Clarke A. 4. Langston G. (C) 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 17. Pinnington J. 24. Terry F. 6. Vennings J. 38. Works T.
Substitutes
30. Abrahams T. 32. Clarridge J. 23. Ghandour H. 17. Henry J. 16. Nash P. (G) 15. Penman C. 18. Rai K.	16. Babic G. 7. Blackwell T. 33. Davis O. 19. Hockey F. 18. Kamara S. 5. Omrore M. 39. Thorpe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Vennings J. 🟨,
41', Jones R. ↓, Ghandour H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Marshall-Miranda M. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Barrett J. ⚽, Thomas K. (A),
66', Barrett J. ↓, Henry J. ↑,
68', Vennings J. 🟨,
71', Clayton R. ↓, Omrore M. ↑,
72', Akinde J. ↓, Blackwell T. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Cooper C. ⚽,
83', Works T. ↓, Hockey F. ↑,
87', Meerholz J. ↓, Abrahams T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 3.

Recent form of Aldershot has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Braintree has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Braintree may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aldershot is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aldershot Town
English National League
27.09.25	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	4:2 ✺
24.09.25	Aldershot Town - Yeovil Town	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Aldershot Town - Hartlepool United	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Carlisle United - Aldershot Town	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Aldershot Town - Brackley Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLT
- Braintree Town
English National League
27.09.25	Braintree Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
24.09.25	Boston United - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Eastleigh - Braintree Town	1:3 ✺
English National League Cup
16.09.25	Braintree Town - Nottingham Forest U21	1:0 ✺
English National League
13.09.25	Braintree Town - York City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
14.01.25	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	2:2
20.08.24	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	2:1
23.02.19	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	0:1
03.11.18	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	1:0
29.04.17	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	2:0
20.08.16	Braintree Town - Aldershot Town	2:0
28.03.16	Aldershot Town - Braintree Town	2:1

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