Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wrexham		Sheffield United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3	3.2	2.45
	3.2	3.45	2.22	Watch
	3.06	3.49	2.28	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.13	3.3	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)	3.36 ↑ (3.32)	2.26 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
30.3%

Draw
28%

Sheffield United
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.4%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.3%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sheffield United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	13%	47.8%

Wrexham - Sheffield United Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Sheff Utd will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheff Utd: 27.4% – 68.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 20%). Sheff Utd (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Sheff Utd (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sheff Utd (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. Hyam D. (C) 2. Doyle C. 37. James M. 47. Longman R. 18. Sheaf B. 14. Thomason G. 10. Windass J. 33. Broadhead N. 19. Moore K.	1. Cooper M. (G) 38. Seriki F. 2. Tanganga J. (C) 6. Bindon T. 3. McCallum S. 4. Arblaster O. 44. Riedewald J. 24. Chong T. 10. O'Hare C. 8. Hamer G. 45. Bamford P.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 25. Burton C. (G) 13. Cacace L. 6. Coady C. 15. Dobson G. 20. Rathbone O. 16. Rodriguez J. 24. Scarr D. 28. Smith S.	11. Brooks A. 14. Burrows H. 23. Campbell T. 7. Cannon T. 17. Davies A. (G) 9. Ings D. 28. Matos A. 25. McGuinness M. 18. Soumare D.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Wilder C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Bamford P. ⚽, Seriki F. (A),
9', 1 - 1, Bindon T. (Own goal),
15', 1 - 2, Bamford P. ⚽, Seriki F. (A),
24', 1 - 3, O'Hare C. ⚽,
28', 2 - 3, Moore K. ⚽, Thomason G. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 3 - 3, Longman R. ⚽, Thomason G. (A),
63', Chong T. ↓, Burrows H. ↑,
65', Hamer G. 🟨,
67', Longman R. 🟨,
72', Bamford P. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
72', Riedewald J. ↓, Soumare D. ↑,
76', 4 - 3, Moore K. ⚽, Broadhead N. (A),
80', Bindon T. 🟨,
81', 5 - 3, Windass J. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
84', O'Hare C. ↓, Brooks A. ↑,
85', Broadhead N. ↓, Rathbone O. ↑,
86', McCallum S. ↓, Ings D. ↑,
90+1', Windass J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 18).

Wrexham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sheff Utd is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sheff Utd could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Cacace L. (Calf Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) Hardie R. (Knee Injury) James A. (Injury) Kabore I. (International duty) Lee E. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There will not play in Sheff Utd: Davies T. (Calf Injury) Mee B. (Hand Injury) Peck S. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Utd: Godfrey B. (Personal Reasons)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 2:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Wrexham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
19.12.25	Swansea City - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Wrexham - Watford	2:2 ✺
10.12.25	Hull City - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
06.12.25	Preston North End - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Wrexham - Blackburn Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTLTT
- Sheffield United
English League Championship
20.12.25	Sheffield United - Birmingham City	3:0 ✺
12.12.25	West Bromwich Albion - Sheffield United	2:0 ✺
09.12.25	Sheffield United - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Sheffield United - Stoke City	4:0 ✺
29.11.25	Leicester City - Sheffield United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
13.08.24	Sheffield United - Wrexham	4:2
English FA Cup
07.02.23	Sheffield United - Wrexham	3:1
29.01.23	Wrexham - Sheffield United	3:3

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