The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aldershot Town 25.3%
Draw 23%
Boreham Wood 51.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
25.1%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.8%
24.7%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldershot Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aldershot Town's form might have worsened.
Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boreham Wood's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aldershot Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boreham Wood, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
27.3%
54.5%
Aldershot Town - Boreham Wood Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Aldershot will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Boreham Wood will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Boreham Wood: 25.1% – 83.9%.
41. Boyce-Clarke C. (G) 31. Sheckleford R. 25. Nightingale W. 15. Grogan C. 22. Scott O. 11. Peart B. 24. Warren C. 20. Stewart C. 6. Widdrington T. (C) 34. Tetek D. 10. Barrett J.
22. Curd T. (G) 15. Clarke J. 6. O'Connell C. 5. Bush Ch. 3. Ilesanmi F. 8. Brunt Z. 23. Booty R. 20. Richardson L. 10. Abdulmalik A. 19. White T. (C) 32. Rush M.
Substitutes
12. Anderson K. 8. Frost T. 17. Henry J. 16. Nash P. (G) 27. Nelson T. 42. Penney M. 9. Thomas K.
17. Clayden C. 2. Coxe C. 14. Henry A. 21. Marshall-Miranda M. 12. Newton J. 16. Reynolds C. 7. Sousa E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Booty R. ⚽,
16', 0 - 2, Booty R. ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, Peart B. ⚽, Barrett J. (A),
32', Tetek D. 🟨,
45+3', Ilesanmi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', O'Connell C. 🟨,
62', Grogan C. 🟨,
64', Richardson L. ↓, Sousa E. ↑,
65', Scott O. 🟨,
73', Barrett J. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
79', Ilesanmi F. ↓, Newton J. ↑,
79', Booty R. ↓, Reynolds C. ↑,
87', Brunt Z. ↓, Marshall-Miranda M. ↑,
87', Abdulmalik A. ↓, Clayden C. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 2.
Aldershot has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Boreham Wood is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Aldershot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Boreham Wood might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Boreham Wood will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aldershot won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:24. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Aldershot won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Boreham Wood
13
11
2
0
34:13
21
35
12
Aldershot
13
5
3
5
18:16
2
18
Last Results with these Odds
Aldershot Town - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.27%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Boreham Wood - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.