Match Info

Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Amiconi B. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, HBO Max, TNT Sports
Brazil	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Mexico	Disney+, Fanatiz
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Independiente Rivadavia

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.3	5	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.35
	1.85	3.37	4.68
	1.86	3.38	4.48	Watch
	1.81	3.41	5.16	Watch
	1.89	3.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.89)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	4.68 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
51.6%

Draw
28.2%

Independiente Rivadavia
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

29.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

28.7%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Rivadavia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83%	12.8%	4.3%

Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia Predictions

Users Predictions: Defensa y Justicia will win (39 of 47 users predict this - 82.98%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.24% – 93.72%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Defensa y Justicia will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bologna E. (G) 6. Ferreira L. 22. Sosa S. 34. Delgado R. 14. Cannavo E. 38. Rubio T. 21. Miranda M. 10. Molinas A. 24. Gutierrez J. 7. Osorio A. 9. Miritello J. B.	30. Bolcato N. (G) 13. Osella A. 2. Costa L. 42. Studer S. 14. Gomez L. 21. Cardillo M. 5. Bottari T. 25. Amarfil M. 26. Fernandez M. 43. Sartori F. 22. Villa S.
Substitutes
23. Aguiar M. 28. Aguilera E. 20. Gonzalez L. 5. Gutierrez K. 31. La Roza U. 11. Lenny Lobato 2. Lucero S. 1. Masuero F. (G) 26. Noguera F. 35. Schamine B. 13. Souto L. 15. Stefanelli N.	45. Andino T. 20. Barbieri J. 36. Bonifacio E. 8. Bucca L. 12. Lastra A. (G) 18. Munoz S. 4. Peinipil M. 7. Ramis V. 34. Retamar K. 11. Tonetto D. 31. Valenti M. 40. Villalba I.
Coaches
Soso M.	Berti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Fernandez M. ⚽, Villa S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Miranda M. ↓, Aguiar M. ↑,
46', Sosa S. ↓, Gutierrez K. ↑,
46', Gutierrez J. ↓, Lenny Lobato ↑,
55', Fernandez M. 🟨,
62', Molinas A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
63', Sartori F. ↓, Retamar K. ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Studer S. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
74', Cardillo M. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
82', Delgado R. ↓, Stefanelli N. ↑,
82', Fernandez M. ↓, Tonetto D. ↑,
82', Gomez L. ↓, Andino T. ↑,
82', Osella A. ↓, Villalba I. ↑,
86', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
87', Villalba I. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0.

Defensa y Justicia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Independiente R has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Defensa y Justicia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Independiente R has had a series of home games.

In this match, Defensa y Justicia is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.11.25	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Defensa y Justicia - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:3 ✺
21.10.25	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
10.10.25	Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWT
- Independiente Rivadavia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.11.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
05.11.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors	3:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.25	Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia	3:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
24.10.25	Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate	1:0 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Banfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia	3:2
16.09.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia	1:0
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.14	Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia	2:2
09.09.13	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia	1:1
10.03.13	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia	1:1
08.09.12	Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia	2:3

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