Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 33

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.45
	3.1	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.38	3.14	2.32
	2.88	3.1	2.38
	3.24	3.22	2.26
	3.1	3.1	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.78)	3.12 ↓ (3.22)	2.33 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
30%

Draw
29.9%

Deportivo Maipú
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

28.5%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.7%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aldosivi's performance.

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aldosivi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	30%	0%

Aldosivi - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aldosivi: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 4. Gonzalez A. 2. Iniguez E. 6. Laquidain S. 3. Paredes G. 7. Indacoechea J. 8. Britez E. 5. Morello M. 10. Olivares J. 9. Riano C. 11. Torres E.	1. Cozzani J. (G) 4. Moyano S. 2. Coronel F. 6. Agorreca N. 3. Ferracuti G. 7. Gonzalez S. 5. Manzur A. 8. Montero F. 10. Sambueza R. 9. Almiron E. 11. Herrera L.
Coaches
Coyette W.	Garcia L.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Deportivo Maipú is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Aldosivi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo Maipú is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.23	Deportivo Riestra - Aldosivi	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Aldosivi - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Racing de Córdoba - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
05.09.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLTT
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.10.23	Villa Dálmine - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
25.09.23	Deportivo Maipú - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Maipú	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Deportivo Maipú - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Aldosivi	3:2

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