Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group A - Round 28

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
World	FIFA+


	Padova		Giana Erminio

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.45	5.2
	1.65	3.6	5.67
	1.65	3.54	5.7	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.5
	1.57	3.54	5.57	Watch
	1.58	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.55)	3.5 ↓ (3.8)	5.47 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
57.1%

Draw
26.2%

Giana Erminio
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

24.6%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

26.9%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Giana Erminio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giana Erminio than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Padova - Giana Erminio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fortin M. (G) 31. Pirrello R. 2. Delli Carri F. 23. Granata A. 17. Capelli A. 6. Crisetig L. 8. Fusi P. 14. Villa L. 19. Valente N. 20. Bortolussi M. 21. Liguori M.	22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 26. Previtali N. 6. Ferri L. 47. Scaringi M. 18. De Maria V. 13. Colombara M. 4. Nichetti M. 10. Lamesta A. 14. Marotta M. 9. Tirelli M. 19. Stuckler D.
Substitutes
15. Bianchi N. 92. Buonaiuto C. 22. Carniello M. (G) 11. Cretella C. 72. Faedo C. 30. Favale G. 26. Kirwan N. 37. Montrone A. 10. Russini S. 16. Sala A. (G) 9. Spagnoli A. 77. Tumiatti F. 7. Varas K.	17. Avinci G. 15. Ballabio M. 37. Bassanini R. 11. Capelli A. 8. Montipo M. 29. Moro L. (G) 21. Pala A. 77. Piazza A. 7. Pinto D. 1. Pirola C. (G) 24. Pirotta D. 99. Renda F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Valente N. ⚽,
12', Colombara M. ↓, Piazza A. ↑,
33', Fusi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Granata A. 🟨,
59', Stuckler D. ↓, Montipo M. ↑,
59', Tirelli M. ↓, Capelli A. ↑,
62', Villa L. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
62', Valente N. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Fusi P. ⚽,
73', Granata A. ↓, Kirwan N. ↑,
77', Fusi P. ↓, Cretella C. ↑,
77', Liguori M. ↓, Buonaiuto C. ↑,
78', De Maria V. ↓, Pala A. ↑,
78', Ferri L. ↓, Ballabio M. ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Buonaiuto C. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Padova won 4.

Recent matches Padova is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giana Erminio in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Padova is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Padova won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.25	Vicenza Virtus - Padova	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Padova - Pro Patria	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Virtus Verona - Padova	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Padova - Pro Vercelli	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Alcione - Padova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLTW
- AS Giana Erminio
Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.25	Giana Erminio - Atalanta U23	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
12.02.25	Caldiero Terme - Giana Erminio	2:3 ✺
Italian Serie C Group A
08.02.25	Union Clodiense - Giana Erminio	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Giana Erminio - FeralpiSalò	3:1 ✺
26.01.25	AlbinoLeffe - Giana Erminio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
12.10.24	Giana Erminio - Padova	0:1
10.03.24	Giana Erminio - Padova	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.11.23	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:0
Italian Serie C Group A
04.11.23	Padova - Giana Erminio	3:1
10.04.22	Padova - Giana Erminio	1:0
05.12.21	Giana Erminio - Padova	1:1
24.04.16	Padova - Giana Erminio	0:2

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