Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP A - ROUND 12

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Alessandria		Triestina

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.58
	5	3.75	1.63
	5.82	3.65	1.62
	5.82	3.65	1.63
	5	3.5	1.6
	5.25	3.64	1.57
	5	3.55	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (3.94)	3.61 ↑ (3.25)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
17.5%

Draw
25.4%

Triestina
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23%

27.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

27.2%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alessandria's form might have worsened.

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Triestina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Triestina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alessandria - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liverani L. (G) 23. Ciancio S. 8. Rota A. 17. Gega E. 18. Pellegrini L. 24. Mastalli A. 28. Foresta G. 66. Sepe A. 21. Nunzella L. 9. Siafa O. 7. Gazoul M.	1. Matosevic K. (G) 13. Ciofani M. 3. Malomo A. (C) 7. Struna Al. 6. Anzolin M. 4. Vallocchia A. 28. Celeghin E. 15. Correia O. 8. El Azrak R. 10. Lescano F. 9. Redan D.
Substitutes
11. Anatriello G. 6. Belgiovine D. 31. Ercolani L. 5. Gentile F. 32. Giubilato L. 53. Molinaro S. 4. Nichetti M. 44. Pagliuca M. 14. Pellitteri A. 15. Ronci A. 3. Rossi E. 72. Vaughn C. 22. Virano R. (G)	11. Adorante A. 22. Agostino G. (G) 16. Diakite M. (G) 21. Fofana L. 5. Gunduz T. 19. Kacinari A. 20. Kozlowski O. 42. Moretti L. 72. Pavlev D. 77. Pierobon C. 33. Rizzo N.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Alessandria is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Triestina is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alessandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Triestina is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
31.10.23	Alessandria - Atalanta U23	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Trento - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Alessandria - Pergolettese	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	AlbinoLeffe - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
06.10.23	Mantova - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTWTL
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group A
28.10.23	Triestina - Fiorenzuola	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Legnago Salus - Triestina	1:3 ✺
20.10.23	Triestina - Vicenza Virtus	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Triestina - Lumezzane	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Renate - Triestina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTWT

Alessandria - Triestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide