Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 22

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday


	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno		Universidad San Martín

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.5
	2.2	3.56	2.37
	2.3	3.6	2.6
	2.41	3.42	2.64
	2.35	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.9)	3.54 ↓ (3.83)	2.52 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
38.9%

Draw
25.4%

Universidad San Martín
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

23.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

24.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfonso Ugarte de Puno's form might have worsened.

Universidad San Martín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad San Martín's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfonso Ugarte de Puno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad San Martín than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad San Martín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Universidad San Martín Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alfonso Ugarte will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Uni San Martín will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Alfonso Ugarte has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Universidad San Martín is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Universidad San Martín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alfonso Ugarte won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfonso Ugarte de Puno
Peruvian Liga 2
22.08.23	Pirata - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	4:1 ✺
10.08.23	Comerciantes Belén - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:0 ✺
03.08.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Los Chankas - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	3:1 ✺
26.07.23	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Universidad San Martín
Peruvian Liga 2
15.08.23	Carlos Stein - Universidad San Martín	0:3 ✺
10.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Juan Aurich	0:1 ✺
02.08.23	Universidad San Martín - Pirata	4:1 ✺
29.07.23	Unión Huaral - Universidad San Martín	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	Universidad San Martín - Comerciantes Belén	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
08.06.23	Universidad San Martín - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	2:1

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