Match Info
NPL Premier Division - Round 13Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished
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Alfreton Town |
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Bury |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.10 |
3.70 |
1.90 |
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3.20 |
3.55 |
1.90 |
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3.41 |
4.16 |
1.79 |
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3.22 |
4.09 |
1.94 |
 Watch |
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3.35 |
4.10 |
1.76 |
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3.23 |
3.95 |
1.98 |
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3.25 |
3.70 |
1.92 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(3.09) |
3.89 ↑
(3.83) |
1.88 ↓
(2.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town
28.1% | Draw
23.5% | Bury
48.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Bury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bury than the current prediction. (-1.2%)Alfreton Town - Bury Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Stepans R. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Robinson O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', 1 - 2, Ligendza S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 69', 2 - 2, Odunaiya D. ⚽,
- 89', 2 - 3, Pedro D. ⚽,
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 8th and 10th).In recent outings, Alfreton has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).Bury shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Bury could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.Recently, Bury has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures. Bury is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match. These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Bury | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 22 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 |
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Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now
Alfreton: 1.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Alfreton Town - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.04%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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