Match Info
FA Cup - Qualification - FinalDate: 11 October 2025, SaturdayLocation: The Mazuma Stadium (Morecambe)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Morecambe |
|
Chester |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.1 |
4 |
2.55 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3.9 |
2.72 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
|
 |
2.21 |
3.85 |
2.71 |
 Watch |
 |
2.26 |
3.95 |
2.36 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.27) |
3.88 ↓
(4.05) |
2.61 ↑
(2.37) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Morecambe
41.6% | Draw
23.5% | Chester
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Morecambe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Morecambe - Chester Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Edwards G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Shrimpton F. ⚽,
Preview
Replayed if draw.Morecambe is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Chester is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Chester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Morecambe won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Chester - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.04%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Club Friendly | | | 16.07.22 | Chester - Morecambe | 1:1 | | 24.07.18 | Chester - Morecambe | 2:2 |
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