Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heroes de San Ramon (Cajamarca)

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.6	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.52	Watch
	2.6	3.25	2.76
	2.65	3.23	2.65	Watch
	2.63	3	2.63
	2.61	3.08	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.66)	3.17 ↓ (3.47)	2.64 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
35.2%

Draw
29.4%

ADT Tarma
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.9%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Cajamarca - ADT Tarma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera C. (G) 30. Vega J. C. 14. Rodas A. 26. Timana H. 5. Bernaola B. 18. Orejuela J. G. 10. Lavandeira Hernandez P. (C) 17. Palacios B. 11. Arrasco M. 20. Meza C. 19. Peralta S.	30. Valencia J. (G) 4. Biojo R. 23. Narvaez J. 28. Soto J. 13. Gomez L. 16. Perez L. 10. Cedron V. (C) 8. Guivin Tanta J. 14. Cabello C. 7. Rojas J. 18. Mazzo A.
Substitutes
12. Aspajo S. (G) 9. Barcos H. 27. Betancourt J. 31. Enciso S. 44. Gomez C. 6. Miguez P. 29. Ocas F. 25. Paucar E. 4. Rosell Delgado J. A.	15. Alvino J. 11. Cubas A. 25. Garcia S. 20. Gutierrez A. 31. Navarro J. 37. Rengifo N. 3. Rugel L. 33. Solis C. (G) 5. Vega J.
Coaches
Ayala Gavilan C. R.	Trobbiani P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Biojo R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Palacios B. ↓, Enciso S. ↑,
46', Peralta S. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Meza C. ⚽, Enciso S. (A),
56', Gomez L. ↓, Rengifo N. ↑,
56', Perez L. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
56', Mazzo A. ↓, Cubas A. ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Narvaez J. (Own goal),
65', Arrasco M. 🟨,
65', Ayala Gavilan C. R. 🟨,
71', Cubas A. 🟨,
71', Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
71', Arrasco M. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
72', Guivin Tanta J. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Cedron V. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Meza C. ↓, Miguez P. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Rojas J. ⚽, Cabello C. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 and 15).

Cajamarca has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

ADT's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in ADT: Arakaki H. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury) Lavandeira Hernandez P. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Cajamarca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11
17	AD Tarma	11	1	3	7	7:21	-14	6

Last Results with these Odds

ADT Tarma - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
06.04.26	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Cienciano - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	3:4 ✺
06.03.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
14.04.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Cienciano - ADT Tarma	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	ADT Tarma - Juan Pablo II College	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.01.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	2:1

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