Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 6 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Alianza Atlético		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.25	3.1	Watch
	2.10	3.25	2.95
	2.22	3.25	3.15	Watch
	2.24	3.22	3.34
	2.23	3.19	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.3
	2.18	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.12	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (1.98)	3.22 ↓ (3.5)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
42.3%

Draw
28.7%

Cienciano
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

26.7%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Cienciano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	11.1%	33.3%

Alianza Atlético - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Cienciano will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Atlético: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 21. Perleche E. 2. Suarez R. 6. Lujan J. 24. Gordillo A. 15. Lupu H. (C) 10. Diaz G. 22. del Castillo J. 27. Ingratti J. 29. Molina J. 17. Penilla C.	31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 22. Cabello C. 26. Aguilar R. 3. Becerra K. 14. Cavero S. 27. Yovera A. 5. Arias Fierro S. D. 29. Robles A. 39. Caparo H. 21. Garces C. (C) 19. Succar M.
Substitutes
16. Fernandez S. 8. Flores F. 11. Larios Saavedra G. A. 19. Mendieta J. 23. Munoz A. 20. Perez J. 95. Prieto D. (G) 40. Quinones Goicochea J. J. 77. Valladolid C.	8. Aguirre G. 88. Barreto G. 1. Falcon G. (G) 10. Hohberg A. 18. La Torre D. 16. Martinich M. 25. Salazar R. 17. Sandoval R. 7. Souza Espana C.
Coaches
Urciuoli F.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Urciuoli F. 🟨,
40', Lupu H. 🟨,
45', Garces C. 🟨,
45', del Castillo J. 🟨,
45+3', Caparo H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yovera A. ↓, Hohberg A. ↑,
46', Caparo H. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
53', Arias Fierro S. D. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Molina J. ⚽, Lupu H. (A),
64', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
77', Aguilar R. ↓, Martinich M. ↑,
77', del Castillo J. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
77', Lupu H. ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
78', Robles A. ↓, La Torre D. ↑,
86', Molina J. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
87', Fernandez S. 🟨,
90+3', Penilla C. ↓, Mendieta J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cienciano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Alianza Atlético could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Guzman W. (Red Card)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:39. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Atlético won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Cienciano	11	3	2	6	14:18	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1
01.08.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	3:1 ✺
24.07.26	Alianza Atlético - Los Chankas	3:1 ✺
18.07.26	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	4:1 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
10.07.26	Alianza Atlético - Pirata	3:2 ✺
28.06.26	Alianza Lima - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLWW
- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
02.08.26	Cienciano - Universitario de Deportes	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.07.26	Cienciano - Lanús	4:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
25.07.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.26	Lanús - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
17.07.26	Cienciano - FBC Melgar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
21.02.26	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	1:1
25.10.25	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	0:1
22.06.25	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	3:2
23.10.24	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	3:0
13.05.24	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	0:1
06.08.23	Alianza Atlético - Cienciano	2:1
10.05.23	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	5:2

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