Match Info

Date: 6 November 2020, Friday


	Alianza Lima		Deportivo Llacuabamba

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	7	Watch
	1.4	4.1	7
	1.42	4.3	6.75	Watch
	1.42	4.2	6.2
	1.43	4.59	7.37
	1.42	4.2	7	Watch
	1.47	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.49)	4.3 ↑ (4.17)	6.85 ↑ (6.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
65%

Draw
21.5%

Deportivo Llacuabamba
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.7%

22.4%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

13.5%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Deportivo Llacuabamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-27.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Lima that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Llacuabamba than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Llacuabamba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alianza Lima - Deportivo Llacuabamba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Alianza Lima is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportivo Llacuabamba is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Llacuabamba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alianza Lima is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Lima won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
02.11.20	FBC Melgar - Alianza Lima	0:4 ✺
30.10.20	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Municipal	1:2 ✺
26.10.20	Alianza Lima - Ayacucho	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Nacional - Alianza Lima	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
17.10.20	Cienciano - Alianza Lima	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLLL
- Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peruvian Liga 1
03.11.20	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Ayacucho	1:0 ✺
30.10.20	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0 ✺
24.10.20	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Sport Boys	3:0 ✺
19.10.20	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Universidad César Vallejo	2:3 ✺
12.10.20	Carlos Stein - Deportivo Llacuabamba	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
03.10.20	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0

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