Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Óscar Quiteño (Santa Ana)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	Centro America TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	CD FAS		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.75	4.60
	1.62	3.55	4.50
	1.59	4.00	5.10
	1.66	3.77	4.85	Watch
	1.55	3.65	5.00
	1.56	3.68	5.12
	1.55	3.90	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.12)	3.76 ↑ (2.95)	4.88 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD FAS
57.2%

Draw
24.2%

Alianza San Miguel
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.7%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD FAS's performance.

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD FAS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FAS won 2.

FAS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.

In this match, FAS is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FAS won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, FAS won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	FAS	12	7	3	2	22:11	11	24
6	Alianza FC	12	4	6	2	19:17	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD FAS
El Salvador Primera Division
04.10.26	CD FAS - INCA-Aruba	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Municipal Limeño - CD FAS	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Cacahuatique - CD FAS	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - CD FAS	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Fuerte San Francisco - CD FAS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTW
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
03.10.26	Alianza San Miguel - Luis Ángel Firpo	2:2 ✺
30.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - INCA-Aruba	1:1 ✺
23.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
11.04.26	Alianza San Miguel - CD FAS	0:2
14.02.26	CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel	3:1
25.10.25	CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel	2:2
24.08.25	Alianza San Miguel - CD FAS	2:0
05.04.25	Alianza San Miguel - CD FAS	1:0
08.02.25	CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel	1:1
16.11.24	CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel	4:1

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