The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CD FAS 54%
Draw 24.9%
Alianza San Miguel 21.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.2%
30.3%
27.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
29.7%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD FAS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD FAS's performance.
Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza San Miguel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD FAS than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD FAS that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza San Miguel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel Predictions
Users Predictions:
CD FAS will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Osorio H. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Medrano E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+7', 2 - 1, Medrano E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', Menjivar L. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FAS won 2.
FAS is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.
In this match, FAS is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, FAS won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, FAS won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
FAS
17
9
4
4
28:18
10
31
7
Alianza FC
16
5
8
3
23:21
2
23
Last Results with these Odds
CD FAS - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.18%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.