Match Info

Copa de la Liga - Round 1

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco)


	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco		Sport Huancayo

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.20	2.95
	2.12	3.30	3.00
	2.12	3.03	3.22
	2.55	3.07	2.85	Watch
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	2.12	3.51	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.87)	3.22 ↓ (3.6)	3.05 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
41.9%

Draw
28.3%

Sport Huancayo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

24.8%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's form might have worsened.

Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sport Huancayo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
76', 0 - 1, Lujan N. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1.

Recent performances by Alianza Universidad have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Huancayo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Alianza Universidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alianza Universidad is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Alianza Universidad won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1.4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Universidad won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
31.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Unión Minas - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Estudiantil CNI	2:0 ✺
09.05.26	Bentín Tacna Heroica - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWTL
- Sport Huancayo
Peruvian Liga 1
30.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Sport Huancayo - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Sport Huancayo - Juan Pablo II College	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Alianza Atlético - Sport Huancayo	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
30.09.25	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	5:1
12.05.25	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo	0:1
02.10.21	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	4:3
03.05.21	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:3
05.10.20	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1
27.10.19	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Sport Huancayo	2:4
11.05.19	Sport Huancayo - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:0

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