The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FBC Melgar 53.5%
Draw 26.5%
Sport Huancayo 20%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
21%
17.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.6%
20.4%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FBC Melgar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FBC Melgar's form might have worsened.
Sport Huancayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FBC Melgar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Huancayo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
FBC Melgar - Sport Huancayo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Cabezudo J. (G) 33. Lazo M. 23. Escobar J. 5. Deneumostier A. 45. Zegarra M. 24. Tandazo W. 6. Salas J. 16. Caceres J. 10. Quagliata N. 11. Vidales J. 9. Cuesta B. (C)
12. Zamudio A. (G) 16. Falconi J. 26. Gaona M. 70. Valoyes J. 2. Angeles H. 22. Salcedo R. (C) 38. Villar E. 7. Campodonico R. 23. Magallanes P. 11. Sanguinetti J. 99. Caballero F.
Substitutes
20. Bernaola G. 12. Caceda C. (G) 80. D'Arrigo J. 22. Erustes P. 14. Gamero Y. 8. Guzman L. 4. Ramos A. 40. Yabiku R. 77. Zanelatto F.
21. Campos D. (G) 20. Canela Torres J. J. 8. Carabano D. 19. Huaccha R. 10. Lujan N. 9. Martinez J. 17. Mena Y. 92. Murillo Y. 28. Rostaing J.
Coaches
Rondelli M.
Pellejero R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Magallanes P. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Quagliata N. ⚽, Cuesta B. (A),
23', Sanguinetti J. 🟨,
42', Caballero F. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
61', 2 - 0, Cuesta B. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
62', Caceres J. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
65', Sanguinetti J. ↓, Lujan N. ↑,
65', Villar E. ↓, Huaccha R. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Cuesta B. ⚽, Zegarra M. (A),
72', Campodonico R. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
72', Magallanes P. ↓, Canela Torres J. J. ↑,
73', 4 - 0, Guzman L. ⚽, Quagliata N. (A),
75', Deneumostier A. 🟨,
77', 4 - 1, Lujan N. ⚽,
79', Quagliata N. ↓, Zanelatto F. ↑,
79', Tandazo W. ↓, Bernaola G. ↑,
79', Canela Torres J. J. 🟨,
83', Bernaola G. 🟨,
84', Vidales J. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
85', Escobar J. 🟨,
86', Cuesta B. 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 3.
Melgar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Huancayo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, Melgar is the team to beat.
There will not play in Melgar: Bordacahar C.
(Knee Injury)
Orzan H.
(Injury)
Zanelatto F.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Huancayo: Lujan N.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melgar won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:23. (average 2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Melgar won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.3:1).
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Cabezudo J. (G) 
Escobar J. 
Salas J. 
Quagliata N. 
Cuesta B. (C) 
Valoyes J. 
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